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no action yesterday - Alfaro didn't play - I do this in the early a.m. when I have energy - should wait for the lineups but don't want to - so I'll waste some time sometimes - have plenty of that
6/28 - okay - the kinna bet nobody wants - but I'll take it - Jake Marisnick of the Tigers - the guy has ZERO homers in the last 66 games
no homer - - 1600 - risk 8 units
going up against Dane Dunning who is having a great year for the Rangers who gives up only 0.5 homers per 9 innings - the league average is about 1.25
the poor guy doesn't have a prayer of hitting a homer
icing on the cake - he only has 8 at bats in the last 5 games - looks like they pulled him for a pinch hitter
looks pretty obvious to me - the shorter the payout - the better chance you have of finding a good bet - longshot lovers love the big payouts but terrible EV on the other side
DraftKings is offering Zack McKinstry at +1100 to hit a double in his first plate appearance tonight
they don't offer the other side - that he won't hit a double in his first plate appearance tonight
a fair price would be about +2400
how pathetic do you have to be to take a bet like that_____?
they're really some sharks - there's blood in the water
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