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I posted earlier (the link is one post up) that Mike Shackleford tracked thousands of NFL games and found away underdogs to win 53.75% with a 2.57% r.o.i.
I also noted that the away pick had the highest r.o.i. by far of 13.25% but only 59 games were tracked
I postulated that this might mean that away dogs that got 4 points or fewer might have a higher r.o.i.
I personally tracked over 300 games and found that to be true - away underdogs that got 4 points or fewer won about 57.6 % in my tracking for an r.o.i. of about a 10% - a pretty good reason to be hopeful imo
based on that and including 2 other picks not based on this but on handicapping here are my picks for this weekend which includes one NCAA picks
Georgia State -1 over Troy_____________________9/30 (today)_____________7 p.m.
Week 4 NFL picks:
Rams +1
Bucs +3
Ravens +1.5
Dolphins +2.5
Ravens/Browns - under 39________________glta
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