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Originally Posted by
DSchles
And, you're offering this up as evidence of something I, what, overlooked?! As you write, nice try!
To me, this thread should have turned yellow a very long time ago. That it hasn't, and that attempts are being made to justify this claptrap, is somewhat disheartening.
Please have the last word. This will be my first and last post in this thread. Doesn't merit two more minutes.
Don
No discussion of shoe bankroll, or the required amount of shoe bankroll you must risk in order to reach max Hourly EV, or LDR in BJA III Chapter 8, where you discuss entire and trip bankroll requirments and ROR. I'm not saying you overlooked these ideas, but I am saying you did not address them in BJA III Chapter 8 which is I think the most likely place to find find them if you did address them in BJA III. If you did not overlook them, please enlighten me and state where you did address them...I understand it may have been elsewhere in BJA III, or somewhere other than BJA III.
On a side note, I do find it odd that you state on pg. 130 of BJA III: "For a typical junket-type trip, where I expect to play 20-25 hours, I will usually bring 150 units of bank with me. Notice that, regardless of the game (2-deck or 6-deck), I am playing at about the 10% level of losing the entire stake. That is my comfort zone. You're entitled to a different one, but I haven't lost too many trip bankrolls these past twenty years!" But you get heartburn when I demonstrate one can reach full Hourly EV by risking only 50 or 100 units for ONE 6 deck shoe...that's either one third, or two thirds of your entire trip roll!
Additionally, you admitted you play with 150 units not just as your trip roll, but that would also be your shoe roll since you hold the opinion that a stop loss has a negative effect on Hourly EV. So 150 units works for 20-25 hours of play and/or a single shoe, but 50 or 100 units does not work for a single shoe? The Hourly EV for a 150 unit shoe roll in my example is the same as the Hourly EV for a 50 or 100 hour shoe roll; so is the 1K Unit ROR. Don't believe me? My methodology is there in my OP, run 3 sims and prove me wrong.
You're beginning to fail the smell test. If you can't run 3 sims to prove an annoying troll wrong and put him in his place, then you will fail the smell test.
The gauntlet has been thrown down sir, your move.
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