I can’t track anything in a casino so the # of cases have increase by 11000 cases in just a day (totaling >46100 cases in the US). My guess is that this # is way higher for people who actually have it. Stay safe everyone. Flatten the curve.
Brick
I've been off in my compound since February, with no physical contact with anyone outside. Reports began surfacing in Nov., Dec., Jan. and no one paid attention or gave a flying shit about it. The situation is serious, but no one seems to take it seriously until the shit is really hitting the fan, because people think in the short-term. There's a medical person that I often have sex with that was paying close attention to all this in late January. I mentioned "Those flushable wipes are not so flushable, and are an issue for a septic system". They are under a lot of stress and pretty much freaking the fuck out lately, and their response was snapping back at me with, "Who says we're going to be alive a year from now to worry about it!". I know jack diddly shit about RNA sequencing and antibodies, but I understand basic math. The two primary variables are percentage of the population exposed and fatality rate. They are estimating 40-70% of the US population being exposed. Going with the low end of that, 40% of 352 million Americans, with a 3.4% fatality rate works out to 4,787,200 fatalities. The flu pandemic of 1918-19 had a 2-3% fatality rate. The lowest estimate I encountered trying to concur this percentage of the 1918-19 pandemic was 1.9%. The fatality rate for COVID-19 is higher than that, and the reasoning behind "flatten the curve" is so we don't end up like Italy, where the fatality rate is around 8%, due to an older population in part, but primarily due to not enough logistical capability to deal with the sheer volume of patients and having to fall into a triage scenario. COVID-19 forms a thick mucus in the lungs, which eventually can solidify, then you die. You can be put on oxygen easily enough, but a shortage of ventilators in ICU units means going to a triage scenario, meaning more fatalities than would occur otherwise. Lowering the infection rate, spreading it over a longer period of time will help ensure there is enough medical personnel and logistical support to deal with it and save a lot of lives. A 3.4% house edge is not something you want to mess with.
Last edited by Tarzan; 03-24-2020 at 10:23 PM.
So much for "containment"...
"People fleeing New York City amid the coronavirus pandemic have been told to self-quarantine wherever they went for 14 days as White House officials sounded the alarm over the troubling spike in cases in the city."
“About 56 percent of all the cases in the United States are coming out of that metro area and 60 percent of all the new cases are coming out of the metro New York area and 31 percent of the people succumbing to this disease,” Birx said.
https://nypost.com/2020/03/24/people...e-for-14-days/
I drove supplies to a friend's house, who likely has it, and the world was running as normal. Traffic, line of cars around Best Buy, auto parts store open. I feel like a fish staying inside.
SCG, I hope you don't have it...where did you get a test?
rxgamble.com
Tarzan, very good post. USA citizens unfortunately do not realize the tragedy that is about to unfold in their country. It's sad but true :-( PLEASE, STAY HOME AND AVOID CONTACT WITH PEOPLE. It won't disappear in a few days, be prepared for a long and hard battle for the next 3-6 months. By all means, protect yourself and those you love by implementing social distancing. IT SAVES LIVES.
G Man
Use this URL for more frequent updates. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...cases-updates/
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