I manually play from a 6 deck shoe and, using a program and database I developed, keep track of all results including the true count. I stop the shoe at card 334, 4.5 deck penetration. I follow the basic strategy, employ hi-lo and the illustrious 18.
After 37 shoes here are my results for the dealer busting when the tc >1:
TC = 2 : 12.8%, TC = 3 : 11.4%, TC = 4 : 11.3%, TC = 5 : 3.84, TC = 6 : 11.1%.
The dealer’s bust average is 11.6%.
Does this make sense?
For the record I started with 5K, bet $25 units and have made $2,400.00.
Thanks.