Regarding surrender posts above, I should have also noted the incredible boost that surrender, when properly used, adds to your win rate - about 1/3.
Nothing to sneeze at. I will play non surrender shoe games, but the pen needs to be phenomenal. Great pen does make up for other house transgressions.
Interesting question on a virtual non existent possibility
The issue here is to maximize on a golden opportunity, or close to maximizing by capitalizing on probabilities. I would still surrender the 11 while doubling A2, as an 18 hand is too close a call. However, hitting 12 with a known 7, at a true 3, gives you pretty good odds. So, double the hard 12, and play out your Ace 2 which gives you the best chance at winning 3 bets.
This is off the top thinking, and I’d sure like to see other opinions.
This thread has strayed so far from the original question as to make me wonder how or why any of you are even discussing what you are. Is there an initial pair that is split (2-2)? If so, why, for the love of God, are you talking about surrendering either of the split hands? What game, exactly, are you playing??
Also, if you state, exactly, what a particular situation is, why are we soliciting opinions? There's only one correct answer, from a strictly mathematical viewpoint, to questions such as these. What's the difference what people's opinions are? Does anyone ask your opinion of 2+2 or whether you should double 11 vs. 6?
So, can we stick to one (hopefully) intelligent question at a time, and I'll try to give an answer. Only, please, will you stop discussing surrendering a hand that results from a split!
Thanks.
Don
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