If You Reach Your Yearly Goal Do You Quit Playing for the Year

[Dbs6582]

The cut card effect absolutely exists -- but has nothing to do with what you are talking about.

Please explain what you mean by the cut card effect. We might be talking about two different things. Obviously, it can increase revenue at some casinos that are busy, but adding more tables or faster dealers would accomplish the same purpose.

At smaller rural caisnos with a more or less a fixed customer base, it probably has no effect. There is only so much money they’re going to be able to extra from their locals. Moving the cut card further back won’t magically allow them to extract more money from their locals.

I figured I’d strike a nerve with some people when I brought up the scared cut card beliefs.

[Joe Mama]

I didn't have to make a piss stop. The shoulders of the road were not plowed and pulling over to run into the woods to leave a leak was not the best idea with over a foot of snow on the ground

Drill a hole in your floorboard, add a funnel and some tubing, and the problem is solved!

[Dbs6582]

No. That would cause hold to stay flat. It is either coincidence or people don't like ASMs and they cut demand by getting their customers to shop elsewhere with the change. Plus with all the red lights and still doing all the unnecessary countermeasures they do for a game were the shuffle is unknown and unseen and the players never touch the cards, I doubt many more rounds are dealt per hour. Maybe fewer rounds per hour at some places. Beware the places where a red light should have occurred but didn't. I was at the GN in AC and 8 cards were upside-down in the machine spread out across the shoe, but no red light. The had the card recognition turned off. The only reason to do that is if they have altered the deck and want to get it thru the shuffle machine without a red light saying there were extra cards or missing cards. There have been many instances that a red light should have been triggered there but wasn't over a long period of time. It is also one of those casinos that I struggle to win at despite getting better or the best playing conditions when I choose to play there. I always feel lucky to get out with a profit. Very suspicious.

Good points Three. This casino doesn’t have a clue. I could have told them to not put in ASMs. They probably listened to some sales guy telling them how ASMs would increase revenues. Probably the same type of people who think moving the cut card around increases revenues. Lol

Btw, they have also gone to ASMs on all their DD pitch games. The locals don’t like them, and neither do the pit people. They seem to jam up about as often as they work. This casino has a lot of counters, and they don’t know it. I see a couple every time I’m there. It’s almost hard to get a table without another counter. It could be their hold has gone down since the ASMs have made it faster for APs to extract money from them.

[angle_sh00ter]

Any person who has made 100k in less than a year would continue the endeavor. Lets be real, just human nature......

Agreed. Noone who actually knows what they are doing and is making serious money doing it is going to be scared that a downswing will diminish their profits for the calendar year. They would realise that the more they play the more they will make regardless of the spikes and troughs.

If you want to take a break thats fine. But doing so just to lock up a win for the year is silly. You dont get to decide when u will run well and when u wont. For all you know there will be a year that u get smashed and then u will wish you didnt put an arbitrary cap on your profits in previois years.

[Bubbles]

Please explain what you mean by the cut card effect. We might be talking about two different things.

We are most certainly talking about different things. The cut card effect is how the house edge changes depending on where and how you place the cut card. https://www.qfit.com/card-counting-cce.htm we were not discussing deeper pen for more hands per hour like I believe you're thinking.

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[Meistro123]

Actually there is a case for quitting based upon your tax liability. Money won in Jan. is subject to significantly less tax than money won in Dec if you are already up 100k.

[Midwest Player]

Actually there is a case for quitting based upon your tax liability. Money won in Jan. is subject to significantly less tax than money won in Dec if you are already up 100k.

This is a very important consideration many folks over look. Okay, we all know blackjack is one big long session, but Uncle Sam requires us to do an accounting once a year so he can get his share. This year also has a new twist called the 199A tax deduction.

Anyway, life is just not about making money. It is also about enjoying life and what better time to take a break after you made a lot of money. In a regular 9 to 5 job we usually have weekends off along with holidays and several weeks of vacation. So why shouldn't a blackjack player also be entitled to a break?

[Midwest Player]

That being said, I ALWAYS check winter road weather conditions prior to a driving trip. Information is easy, and I’m very prepared to delay a trip over poor conditions. I don’t care about cold - I care about whiteout, black ice, heavy wind (got caught once with wind so brutal, it blew a heavy vehicle into the path of a semi, brutal rural conditions).

In your locale, unless you were flying, my routine would tell me to call it quits, over safety issues, for the year.

On my last trip weather conditions were predicted to be pretty good. However, where I'm from after Nov 15th it is pretty hard to get 3 or 4 nice days in a row. It seems like always one end of the trip has less than desirable conditions. On my last trip coming home road conditions started to deteriorate the farther north I got and eventually became mostly snow covered with lake effect snow. Lake effect snow can be very tricky and is really hard to forecast accurately.

Flying is also not the best option either. A few years ago the charter flight from Laughlin could not make it back due to heavy snow and the folks had to be bused back 200 miles. I'm sure glad I was not on that flight.

Also I'm concerned not only for my safety in winter, but also for my wife's. When I'm gone the wife has to take out the dog three times a day and I'm always concerned she might slip on the snow especially late at night when no one is around. I'm always concerned about that late night dog walk, but I always call her to make sure she got back safely. I'm not so much concerned about the morning and afternoon walks as other folks are usually around then. Falling and not being able to get up can mean the difference between life and death in the winter.

[21forme]

where I'm from after Nov 15th it is pretty hard to get 3 or 4 nice days in a row.

Have you ever considered moving south, at least for the winter?

[Dbs6582]

We are most certainly talking about different things. The cut card effect is how the house edge changes depending on where and how you place the cut card. https://www.qfit.com/card-counting-cce.htm we were not discussing deeper pen for more hands per hour like I believe you're thinking.

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Makes sense. Thanks for the clarification. You are correct in how I was thinking. I shouldn’t have used the term “cut card effect.”

[Sharky]

We are most certainly talking about different things. The cut card effect is how the house edge changes depending on where and how you place the cut card. https://www.qfit.com/card-counting-cce.htm we were not discussing deeper pen for more hands per hour like I believe you're thinking.

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he's a troll w/ a lack of understanding of, well, everything bj, business, basic economics, and, of course, mostly, common sense

good luck dippy

[Freightman]

he's a troll w/ a lack of understanding of, well, everything bj, business, basic economics, and, of course, mostly, common sense

good luck dippy

I’d have to agree with that.

[Dbs6582]

he's a troll w/ a lack of understanding of, well, everything bj, business, basic economics, and, of course, mostly, common sense

good luck dippy

It’s good to see my two favorite belittlers (Sharky and Freightman) are back. I missed you guys and your belittling statements. At least neither one of you went off the railroad tracks this time.