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It seems at least Don think I believe he is wrong. I never said that and don't disagree with him. I disagree with starting a proof with an assumption and feeling anything but reducing to a falsehood proves anything. I know Don doesn't think he is basing anything on an assumption. I think what I am calling an assumption is most likely right but I am hesitant to call it a fact. At one time in the ancient past we needed to call it a fact to come to a final absolute on this. Today we don't need to do that. We can assess the actual situation from a counters perspective that bets and plays exactly the same as a basic strategist and collect a boatload of count related data that is useful for the counter about TC at varying depths in the process. Since most people use Hilo, I suggested a Hilo counter. From a counters perspective the results of what I suggested will be interesting. As far as the question at hand goes we will finally confirm what Don has said with absolutes rather than something that may be an assumption.
I know basic strategists think the first hand is the worst and the end of the shoe is best, but I know others that feel the opposite. But we know what those observations are worth. As a counter we can see why that might be. In the beginning of the shoe the RC is always 0, but at the end of the shoe the TC range is wide and varied. But from a basic strategists perspective it doesn't make any sense because there is no count. He doesn't know that his chances are any different but we know things are not the same. Don's assumption is both are right. Things are quite different but things are also the same. I understand his logic and think he is right, but I have no proof it is fact. Maybe it is my mathematical background, but I am a skeptic until something is proven. No mathematician can accept a proof that includes anything that isn't absolute fact. While I agree with Don's "assumption", I hesitate to call it fact. I tried to make that clear but apparently at least Don didn't get that. If Don didn't get it I am sure he isn't the only one. If DogHand does the sim it will have a lot of interesting data for counters and also prove this thing one way or the other. My money is on Don is right, but that is always almost a sure thing, especially concerning BJ. Pretty much everything else because Don is smart enough to be quiet when he isn't an authority on something. That is a rare quality.
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