Simulator Theory: Approaches and Applications?

[Dog Hand]

dogman_1234,

Well, here's one flaw: what happens if the H and S expectations are BOTH negative?

For example, for 2,10 vs. 2, the S EV is roughly -0.31, while the H EV is roughly -0.24. Thus, B.S. says to hit, but both options are -EV, so does your algorithm switch each time?

Hope this helps!

Dog Hand

[lij45o6]

dogman_1234,

Well, here's one flaw: what happens if the H and S expectations are BOTH negative?

For example, for 2,10 vs. 2, the S EV is roughly -0.31, while the H EV is roughly -0.24. Thus, B.S. says to hit, but both options are -EV, so does your algorithm switch each time?

Hope this helps!

Dog Hand

I should elaborate that the optimal action is switched for that round if it is negative. That is, even when the global EV for 12 vs 2 is negative for both hitting and standing, if the expectation for that round is negative (the player loses), the computer will switch from whatever that assumed optimal action is.

But, yes, the computer will be switching back and forth each time, when the player loses that round, that is.