I’ve posted before regarding wonging out at a favorite table / dealer and then coming back later for the next shuffle (assuming the favorite dealer will still be there). Several people had excellent comments on how to kill time nonchalantly (bathroom, get a non alcoholic drink, phone call, etc).

Recently I read where someone recommended going to the craps table and betting on the Pass line (to minimize the house edge) and effectively look like a ploppy while waiting on your favorite table / dealer to reshuffle. After all, an AP would never play craps because there’s no way to beat it.

Then, I thought… couldn’t an additional “camouflage” play be roulette and simply bet black (or even) and minimize the house edge while waiting?

So in researching, I found that the craps Pass Line has a house edge of 1.41% ( https://www.casinotop10.net/online-craps-strategy ) which makes a players edge of 48.59%. Regarding roulette and a double zero wheel, the math reveals a house edge of 20 / 38, netting a players edge of 18 / 38 = 47.37%.

But wait… what is the players edge if I simply wong out from my favorite dealer and move to an unknown BJ table (i.e. count unknown) in the middle of the shoe? And assume (from my perspective) the TC=0 and start counting from that point. Then, I would need to start at minimum bet assuming TC = 0 even though there are cards in the discard tray. To conservatively model this scenario, I use my house parameters, assume flatbet and play-all with no counting (i.e. BS with no indices), and model this using CVCX. Doing this shows (for my scenario) %W/L at -0.63% , which (presumably) is 50% - 0.63% = 49.37% players edge.

Question: Would the above conservative CVCX modeling approach offset the real life possibility of unwittingly sitting down to a negative count, much like what I just wonged out from? If so, then a "cold" BJ table is better than craps or roulette while biding time.

Anxious to hear thoughts and comments.