I saw a ploppy split 6s FOUR times.....against a dealer's king! And his next two cards? Sixes. Needless to say, he lost all four hands. I don't think I've ever seen anyone split sixes against a ten, and I have never seen six consecutive 6s dealt to one person.
Dalmatian, you profile says you are from "Deep South." I'm curious what you are doing playing so many places in the Midwest. Anyway, I decided to check my records to see how I did at Oneida and North Star over the last eleven years.Originally Posted by dalmatian
I don't see how I'm not a pro counter. I can keep the running count to near perfection, my true count conversion is accurate, and I know ~50-60 indices (mostly positive bc I wong out).
I am negative at EVERY casino lifetime. Potowanomi, Ho chunk, oneida, island resort, treasure island, El cortez, treasure bay, and Harrah cherokee. ALL NEGATIVE. not a single positive net experience.
During that time period I played Oneida 17 times for a net win of $1,865. I won on 13 of those 17 times played. Biggest win was $1,065. Biggest loss was $1,160. For North Star during that same 11 year period I played there 20 times for a net win of $3,479. I won on 14 of those 20 times played. Biggest one day win was $3,225. Biggest loss was $1,370.
For Island Resort they said "no more blackjack' to me back in 2006 after I won only a little over $600 over two days.
I don't know why you are doing so bad. I would suggest you only play one hand. Also feel you don't need so many index numbers.
Email: [email protected]
dalmatian, when you ran the sims for risk of ruin did you also include expenses you incurred for traveling? If not that may be your biggest problem right there.
Depending upon how bad the house rules are, the upfront house edge may still keep you at a disadvantage at a +1 TC. So obviously when you also mention playing neutral counts, that above quote itself can be a very deceptive statement.
Last edited by BoSox; 08-08-2018 at 08:41 AM.
Dalmatian, I hope I wasn't too personal in asking you these questions as some claim. Anyway, I'm always interested in stores in my neck of the woods. Thanks for letting me know of your Island back off. I never went back as simply I have better places to play where I can still play rated. My suggestion to you would be to cut out the 6 deck games and play mostly 2 deck.
I can help you with stores in the northern half of WI and U.P. I won't post these details on a public forum. You can email me at my email address. Maybe we can share some info.
Email: [email protected]
You made no mention of penetration which is generally more important that various rules.
Your spread is both anemic and indicative of a novice counter. Your perspective on dealing with variance is to verbalize it in a casino? REALLY BAD EV!
You should have known all the parameters of variance for your game and fitted to your bankroll BEFORE you started. Then you wouldn't EXPECT to win all the time.
Educate yourself on variance and game selection.
Your results are near 2SD from EV which would cause me to check your game quality, so I would do a skill check to insure my game is solid. Over/under betting and chasing losses may be a culprit.
You need to wong in and/or out with an emphasis on reducing the TC-1 or worse rounds played.
If you then decide you can't handle the negative variance, then take up another venture because it is coming over and over in both directions.
Luck is nothing more than probability taken personally!
"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
That original less than 2% ROR was only a starting point from a set bank. When an inevitable negative fluctuation hits you, do you think that does not change anything as you still started with a low ROR and everything will eventually work itself out? Constant re-evaluation of ROR is necessary especially with a falling bankroll. Even more so in your case because you are already playing at a level with a unit bet that is more than likely you will not be able to downsize. Although you did learn something about yourself in this endeavor and that is when the going gets tough the reality is that you could give two shits about ROR.
Posting Permissions
-*-
Reply With Quote
Bookmarks