How Does a blackjack comeback look like?

**Freightman** · 07-31-2018, 04:31 AM

Originally Posted by Dbs6582

Freightman, this advice didn’t make much sense. It sounds like something out of a ploppy handbook. Math is the math. Are you saying if he makes his ramp in a more non robotic fashion it will help him win? I get how this will help longevity but I fail to see how this has anything to do with a losing streak. Please explain. Thanks.

Why am I not surprised?
As i said, not a project for today. Frankly, it's too advanced for you, and I don't feel like wasting my time with you.

**ZeeBabar** · 07-31-2018, 04:46 AM

Last time I saw a guy playing like that, shouting, banging the table, losing about $22k, called his wife, fried on phone, then talked to pit, got security over and barred himself from ever entering that casino.

This, July, is the best month ever in a 4+ year recreational career, and I am up about $8,500. However, the previous years have convinced me that a losing month is close by. After a losing streak, my confidence gets shot, I start expecting to lose. So, I work on myself a bit by leaving after small wins, as low as $50-$100. After a few wins, the confidence returns and the losing streak is forgotten.

You are not only losing $$$ but the stress is also going to hurt your health. Try taking a couple of weeks off. If you have difficulty staying away from casinos, you might be an addict and that's not good news. If you cM take a bit of time off, practice and return, try short sessions and leaving while up even a little bit and then you will feel better. This will help you for the future.

**Three** · 07-31-2018, 05:56 AM

Originally Posted by Freightman

Why am I not surprised?
As i said, not a project for today. Frankly, it's too advanced for you, and I don't feel like wasting my time with you.

Ds will never get it. He thinks playing in a casino is the same as playing a computer sim. Not all equal TCs are created equal. Think about it. You can either know how to recognize the difference from additional info gathered, or realize that results may indicate a difference. Some interesting threads on this:

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...-at-tc-1/page3

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...orial-Analysis

**Three** · 07-31-2018, 06:00 AM

Originally Posted by Three

Exit strategy can engineer session results like this. Trying to get even when behind often makes you fall further in the hole and causes you to give the casino too much exposure. Getting it back and posting a small win looks bad. Many casinos see that as a big win. Leaving after being ahead a little limits wins. There should be some symmetry for your exit strategy concerning wins and loses.

The best exit strategies are not concerned about wins and losses. It is about exposure and longevity. There may be some overlap with a wins and losses exit strategy but the decisions to leave have nothing to do with wins and losses. Since it is somewhat independent of wins and losses it doesn't engineer a bias in results due to exit strategy.

**Dbs6582** · 07-31-2018, 07:21 AM

Originally Posted by Three

Ds will never get it. He thinks playing in a casino is the same as playing a computer sim. Not all equal TCs are created equal. Think about it. You can either know how to recognize the difference from additional info gathered, or realize that results may indicate a difference. Some interesting threads on this:

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...-at-tc-1/page3

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...orial-Analysis

Hey, thanks Three! This is good info! I do get it as far as all TCs aren’t created equal. While I don’t use a level two count, I still incorporate many of its ideas into my Hilo. I know the value of removal of each card and keep a warm and fuzzy feel for this as I use my HiLo count. This is relatively easy to do since I only play single and DD. For example, I know at the same TC my advantage is greater if I’ve seen more 4 and 5s than 2s and 3s, and thus I bet more than the TC calls for.

However, that’s not the point of my original question or the OP’s question. If what the OP said is correct, then what he is doing is playing a winning game. His problem is he’s on a losing streak. Yes, a better counting system will somewhat help, which is what you’re suggesting, but sometimes losing streaks happen. Being robotic or not with betting will not get you out of losing streaks. That was really my only point. Thanks for the attachments! I’ll be reading them again!

**Freightman** · 07-31-2018, 07:27 AM

Originally Posted by Dbs6582

Hey, thanks Three! This is good info! I do get it as far as all TCs aren’t created equal. While I don’t use a level two count, I still incorporate many of its ideas into my Hilo. I know the value of removal of each card and keep a warm and fuzzy feel for this as I use my HiLo count. This is relatively easy to do since I only play single and DD. For example, I know at the same TC my advantage is greater if I’ve seen more 4 and 5s than 2s and 3s, and thus I bet more than the TC calls for.

However, that’s not the point of my original question or the OP’s question. If what the OP said is correct, then what he is doing is playing a winning game. His problem is he’s on a losing streak. Yes, a better counting system will somewhat help, which is what you’re suggesting, but sometimes losing streaks happen. Being robotic or not with betting will not get you out of losing streaks. That was really my only point. Thanks for the attachments! I’ll be reading them again!

Clearly, you're missing it totally. But as I said, you're not worth the time.

**Dbs6582** · 07-31-2018, 07:28 AM

Originally Posted by Freightman

Clearly, you're missing it totally. But as I said, you're not worth the time.

i must be worth some of your time because you replied to my post, even thought you didn’t say anything of value. Lol

**Three** · 07-31-2018, 08:42 AM

Originally Posted by Freightman

Clearly, you're missing it totally.

Yes Ds is. Follow the clues in a different direction.

**Freightman** · 07-31-2018, 08:47 AM

Originally Posted by Three

Yes Ds is. Follow the clues in a different direction.

I thought it was obvious from your post 21.

**Ryemo** · 07-31-2018, 08:51 AM

Originally Posted by CountinCanadian

Potowanomi... I happen to know someone who goes there all the time (not counter, basic strategy player) but if I recall correctly, based on their description, the rules are not worth playing there.

I would strongly disagree.

**Three** · 07-31-2018, 09:07 AM

Originally Posted by Three

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...-at-tc-1/page3

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...orial-Analysis

I just realized that bot links are in the subscription forum. My apologies to those that don't subscribe. The best stuff is always posted in the subscription forum. These were in the "Advanced Strategies, Theories and Math" forum. For what a 1 month subscription costs on most forums you get almost a years subscription here. You can't beat that and you will get to read these advanced AP threads.