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    Trying to understand your question. How is it different from asking what the frequency of each true count is, say, per 100 hands dealt? And, if it's different, how is it relevant to your system?

    Don

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    Senior Member SteinMeister's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    Trying to understand your question. How is it different from asking what the frequency of each true count is, say, per 100 hands dealt? And, if it's different, how is it relevant to your system?

    Don

    One example is: how often the true count trips from one to two. When this happens my bet more than doubles, and there is a heat penalty in CVBJ "heat" options for this. This is what I want to capture in my analysis.


    If I use the TC frequency percentages I have to assume they represent a complete cycle. What is that complete cycle representative of? 10 hands? I don't think so because in 10 hands I do not see The true count fluctuate from 0 to -5 to 0 again to positive 5 and then back to zero. Is it representative of 100 hands? And then if it is, that means (on average) I only see a TC trip from 1 to 2 one time in a hundred hands. Is that a true representation? I don't know. But it seems to me that if a simulation tracks the true Count over a million hands then yes there will be noise but if you smooth it out it seems to me that there should be a natural frequency of high peaks to low Peaks. That frequency I could apply to my analysis and estimate the number of times my betting doubles in relation to the number of hands played... and thus apply to my "heat" analysis of that particular betting ramp and unit bet combination.
    Last edited by SteinMeister; 07-09-2018 at 07:21 AM.

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