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Originally Posted by
gengagod
I tried to go to casino playing mins but I noticed some shoes could go to rc of +20 really fast even though it is a 6 D BJ does it mean if the RC is +20 and with 5 deck left = TC +4? Same probabilty of winning the hand as 1 deck TC +4? Many Thanks
Your sim equates all TC +4 true counts and bets them all at their collective average. There is a small degree of floating advantage in your question but I like the increased certainty of TC +4 with fewer cards left. If BJ was a 1 card removed event it would make no difference. But BJ deals two cards to each player and often requires several more cards dealt to resolve the hand. These multiple card effects can act to increase your edge. For example with 5 decks left you double 11v5, getting a low card doesn't increase the dealers bust chances much but with 1 deck left it increases the bust chances a lot more. Think of it like having 4 more white marbles than black marbles in a bag containing 50 marbles (27 white marbles and 23 black marbles) versus having 20 more white marrbles than black marbles in a bag containing 250 marbles (135 white and 115 black). The odds of pulling a white or black marble is the same, but the odds of pulling a white or black marble after 1 marble is removed is not the same. Of course I eliminate neutral cards here, but it serves to demonstrate the point. If you double 11v5 and get a low card the deck is now 55.1% high card for the dealer to draw from. If there were 5 decks left and I draw a low card the changes of the dealer drawing a high is 54.2%. Obviously the certainty of the former is better.
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