EV by hand by count charts?

[21forme]

A friend of mine got a free shot on a 16 v 6 in a high count due to a dealer error, and wasn't sure whether to play the hand or pull back his chips. Wong has charts of EV by hand, but not also by count (EV in a neutral count is -.115). I rationalized the correct decision was to pull the bet back, knowing the bust rate for a dealer 6 exceeds 50% at TC +10? Cprrect? Are there any charts on this anywhere?

[Freightman]

A friend of mine got a free shot on a 16 v 6 in a high count due to a dealer error, and wasn't sure whether to play the hand or pull back his chips. Wong has charts of EV by hand, but not also by count (EV in a neutral count is -.115). I rationalized the correct decision was to pull the bet back, knowing the bust rate for a dealer 6 exceeds 50% at TC +10? Cprrect? Are there any charts on this anywhere?

Agree to the pullback. I may be wrong, but I don’t think it’s a 50% bust rate, especially given an almost guaranteed ace rich environment.

[21forme]

Agree to the pullback. I may be wrong, but I don’t think it’s a 50% bust rate, especially given an almost guaranteed ace rich environment.

Norm has a chart somewhere with bust rate by dealer up card and count. 5 and 6 reach 50% at +10. Looked into it once before, analyzing a side bet.

[Dog Hand]

21forme,

See the second figure in the following post:

https://www.blackjacktheforum.com/sh...ncy-vs-HiLo-TC

As you can see, with a 6 upcard the dealer will bust just over 50% of the time for a HiLo TC of +9. Since you'll stand with 16 vs. 6, your only chance of winning is to have the dealer bust.

In general, if you have bj21 Green Chip access, the following post will tell you at what HiLo TC (up to +6) each starting matchup is +EV for the player:

https://bj21.com/boards/green-chip-f...?page=1#unread

Hope this helps!

Dog Hand

[21forme]

Thanks (again), DH