Quote Originally Posted by Joe Mama View Post
For some reason, when I am thinking about a problem like this, and I sleep, I wake up with alternate ways to figure things out. I took Bob Dancer's software and set the royal to a very low number -- the variance dropped to between 11 and 12 (about half), and game EV dropped to 98%. So if you looked at what to expect without hitting a royal, 1 SD would be about 12-13,000, and the center of the distribution would be about -$11,000. Roughly +/- 2 SD would be +$14,000 to -$36,000.
And is it fair to look at the numbers without hitting a royal when im playing more than 50% of the hands that it takes to theoretically hit a royal?