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Thread: Sharky's NFL play-o-the-weak 2017

  1. #66
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    fat lady hasn't sung yet...take the PATRIOTS -2.5 for today's play.

    Good luck,

    Sharky

    Last week:1-0
    Season: 5-8-1

  2. #67
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    NFL Odds Week 16 - Week Sixteen NFL Football Odds

    NFL Game Odds 12/23 - 12/25, 2017


    Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog Total Money Odds
    12/23 4:30 ET At Baltimore -13.5 Indianapolis 41.5 -$1000 +$700
    12/23 8:30 ET At Green Bay -9 Minnesota 40.5 -$420 +$350
    12/24 1:00 ET Detroit -5 At Cincinnati 43 -$240 +$200
    12/24 1:00 ET LA Chargers -7 At NY Jets 42.5 -$340 +$280
    12/24 1:00 ET LA Rams -6.5 At Tennessee 48.5 -$300 +$250
    12/24 1:00 ET At Chicago -6.5 Cleveland 38.5 -$300 +$250
    12/24 1:00 ET At Carolina -10 Tampa Bay 46.5 -$500 +$400
    12/24 1:00 ET At New Orleans -5.5 Atlanta 53 -$250 +$210
    12/24 1:00 ET At Washington -3.5 Denver 41 -$180 +$160
    12/24 1:00 ET At Kansas City -10 Miami 44 -$500 +$400
    12/24 1:00 ET At New England -12.5 Buffalo 47 -$850 +$600
    12/24 4:05 ET Jacksonville -4.5 At San Francisco 42.5 -$230 +$190
    12/25 4:25 ET At Arizona -4 NY Giants 40 -$210 +$180
    12/25 4:25 ET At Dallas -5 Seattle 47 -$240 +$200
    Monday Night Football Odds
    12/25 4:30 ET Pittsburgh -9.5 At Houston 44 -$475 +$375
    12/25 8:30 ET At Philadelphia -9 Oakland 47.5 -$420 +$350
    Last edited by ZenMaster_Flash; 12-20-2017 at 08:45 AM.

  3. #68


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    Quote Originally Posted by Sharky View Post
    fat lady hasn't sung yet...take the PATRIOTS -2.5 for today's play.

    Good luck,

    Sharky

    Last week:1-0
    Season: 5-8-1
    Easy cover!! :-)

    Don

  4. #69
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    That's Sharky's play for last week.

  5. #70
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    Quote Originally Posted by DSchles View Post
    Easy cover!! :-)

    Don
    ...she was warming up her vocals....

    The COLTS visit Baltimore who try to remain relevant....only excitement here is if Pags makes it til the end of the season....take the Ravens -13 for an EZ win

    Good luck,

    Sharky

    Last week: 1-0
    Season: 6-8-1

  6. #71
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    it's usual for me to fancy a matchup in the final week with some teams resting for the playoffs....the JAGS visit the win-and-in Titans, take TENNESSEE -1.5 for today's play

    Good luck,

    Sharky

    Last week: 0-1
    Season: 6-9-1

  7. #72
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    NFL Odds Wild Card Playoff Games - NFL Football Odds
    Wild Card Weekend Playoffs
    NFL Game Odds, NFL Playoff Odds 1/6 - 1/7, 2018



    Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog Total Money Odds
    1/6 4:30 ET At Kansas City -8.5 Tennessee 44.5 -$475 +$375
    1/6 8:15 ET At LA Rams -6.5 Atlanta 48.5 -$300 +$250
    1/7 1:00 ET At Jacksonville -8 Buffalo 39.5 -$400 +$320
    1/7 4:30 ET At New Orleans -6.5 Carolina 48.5 -$300 +$250

  8. #73
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    Read this Re: The Buffalo Bills


    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-this-century/

    Now ... comment here in this thread.

  9. #74
    Senior Member Joe Mama's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ZenMaster_Flash View Post

    Read this Re: The Buffalo Bills


    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...-this-century/

    Now ... comment here in this thread.
    Article says Bills do nothing well, however there are two things they do well. They create turnovers and do not commit turnovers. If you exclude the game they started rookie QB Peterman (5 INTs and a fumble in a half), they would be near the top in turnover ratio (should be called turnover difference). Probably a good game to bet the under 39.5 pts.

  10. #75


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    Quote Originally Posted by Joe Mama View Post
    Article says Bills do nothing well, however there are two things they do well. They create turnovers and do not commit turnovers. If you exclude the game they started rookie QB Peterman (5 INTs and a fumble in a half), they would be near the top in turnover ratio (should be called turnover difference). Probably a good game to bet the under 39.5 pts.
    It's almost like 538 is a pseudo-analytics shop.

    Quote Originally Posted by drunk View Post
    I don't believe even for a minute that these guys who do these metric analyses or deep mathematical analyses are winning bettors. Or if they do win I believe it's by a very small margin.


    538 is pop analytics at best most of the time.

  11. #76


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    Quote Originally Posted by moses View Post
    Bosox. Feeling good about Celtics -2.5 investment tonight.

    Moses be careful, the Celtics usually play a better all-around team game when forward Marcus Morris plays. Tonight he is sitting out.

  12. #77


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    Quote Originally Posted by drunk View Post
    You probably are familiar with Jeff Sagarin. I believe he is highly respected and considered to be one of the best at this kind of thing.

    I tracked picks based on his analysis for a fair amount of time and found no edge at all.

    But that doesn't mean I'm criticizing him. I just don't believe it's anywhere near enough to become profitable.

    Just in case you don't know him I've linked his NFL page.


    http://sagarin.com/sports/nflsend.htm
    Thank you. He is new to me.

  13. #78
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    Interesting article Re: Super Bowl Prop Bets:


    http://www.businessinsider.com/super...t-picks-2018-1

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