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Thread: cover play, stand on a pair of 6 vs dealer's 5

  1. #1


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    cover play, stand on a pair of 6 vs dealer's 5

    Stand on a pair of 6 vs dealer's 5, not split , is this a good cover play? 12 vs 5 is a stand according to the basic strategy anyway.

  2. #2


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    Quote Originally Posted by ellenc View Post
    Stand on a pair of 6 vs dealer's 5, not split , is this a good cover play? 12 vs 5 is a stand according to the basic strategy anyway.
    With 6,6 I believe it would be less costly to deviate from BS (ie not to split) vs a dealer 2/3/4 than vs a 5.

  3. #3


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    Dumb cover play. Especially when red chipping.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ellenc View Post
    Stand on a pair of 6 vs dealer's 5, not split , is this a good cover play? 12 vs 5 is a stand according to the basic strategy anyway.
    With DAS in a shoe game, splitting 6/6 vs. 5 is an 8% gainer. Standing is a 15% loser. Giving away 21% on a hand is way too much for a cover play. There are lots of dumb looking cover plays down in the 1% to 3% range.

  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renzey View Post
    " ... splitting 6/6 vs. 5 is an 8% gainer. Standing is a 15% loser. Giving away 21% on a hand is way too much for a cover play."
    While Renzey, et al know that a cover play should cost you very little,

    e.g. always hitting 16 vs 10, standing on A7 vs. Ace, Hitting A4 vs 4 and

    Ace 2 vs 5 taking insurance with a hand of 20, 19, or 11 at a True Count

    a TC notch below what you are using are the best examples of cover play.

    Incidentally, what is the expectation of hitting 12 vs. 5 in
    a S17 game?

    Renzey has made an error (see above) because the player failing to split

    6's vs. a dealer 5 is 'costing themselves' the difference in expectations

    between splitting and standing. The difference in the example given is

    7% NOT 21%. In any case, Renzey has correctly pointed out that for a

    'cover play' to be correct needs to cost the player VERY little.

    Had the O.P. referred to 6-6 vs 4 this thread would be a more "teachable moment."

  6. #6


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    Quote Originally Posted by ZenMaster_Flash View Post

    Renzey has made an error (see above) because the player failing to split

    6's vs. a dealer 5 is 'costing themselves' the difference in expectations

    between splitting and standing. The difference in the example given is

    7% NOT 21%.
    Standing is minus EV. Splitting is plus EV. The difference between them is their absolute sum. Still, I did make an error. With DAS you go from minus 15% to plus 11%, rather than to plus 8%. Sorry.
    Last edited by Renzey; 09-09-2017 at 11:34 AM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Renzey View Post
    15% to plus 11%, rather than to plus 8%.

    -15% to +11% is a profound 26% swing.
    A Green chipper with one chip bet has
    unwittingly cost themselves > $6.50
    Last edited by ZenMaster_Flash; 09-10-2017 at 11:20 AM.

  8. #8


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    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    I bet you are both glad you don't need to do the math to get the gain. LoL
    Not to mention that the original 8% winner to 15% loser was not a 21% differential, as stated, but rather 23%!!

    Don

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    Quote Originally Posted by Three View Post
    That was my point. Neither one had the math right. Perhaps that wasn't as obvious as I thought it was. Jokes suck when you have to explain them.
    It wasn't obvious because each had already admitted to an error other than that one.

    Don

  10. #10


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    I foresee a dark new way for threads to become derailed

    What rough pedant
    Its hour come round at last
    Slouches towards bethelem to be born

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