Quick sim help

[weballinoutacontro]

Hey guys,

My CVData seems to be broken. Can't get any of the programs to run (keep immediately crashing when I try to run a sim). I'm heading up somewhere new tonight, just wondering if someone could help me out with the ideal bet ramp for this game:

Double Deck, $10-100, 60-65% Pen, H17, NMSE (including no mid-shoe spreading), DAS, RSA, DA2, no surrender, HiLo count with full I18 except never splitting 10s (is this what the Sweet 16 is BTW?)

Let's say B/R is $15k-20k or so, and aiming for the standard ROR.

It's the $100 max that throws me, with a bankroll that feels a bit high for a $100 limit, which kinda screws up the ideal bet ramp that I can pull from CVCX online. At what TC should I hit max? I'm guessing maybe +3? What does it say for TC +1 and +2 in that case?

Appreciate any help

[refinery]

Look this over. 65% pen, 20,000 BR.

	Count Freq.	Win/ Loss	EV	Standard Deviation	Optimal Bets	Custom
Count	Count Freq.	Win/ Loss	Std. Error	Standard Deviation	Exact	Bets
<=-1	39.53%	-2.02%	0.01	1.14	1	10
0	29.03%	-0.57%	0.01	1.128	1	10
1	8.09%	0.05%	0.02	1.126	1	10
2	8.38%	0.58%	0.02	1.126	3.68	25
3	4.04%	1.07%	0.02	1.127	6.71	50
4	4.02%	1.55%	0.02	1.126	9.77	100
5	1.99%	2.12%	0.03	1.12	10	100
6	1.80%	2.51%	0.04	1.117	10	100
7	0.91%	3.16%	0.05	1.109	10	100
8	0.83%	3.29%	0.05	1.107	10	100
9	0.38%	4.12%	0.08	1.098	10	100
10	0.39%	3.97%	0.08	1.101	10	100
11	0.13%	5.02%	0.13	1.087	10	100
12	0.19%	4.54%	0.11	1.096	10	100
13	0.04%	5.87%	0.25	1.08	10	100
14	0.10%	4.66%	0.16	1.091	10	100
15	0.01%	6.42%	0.51	1.069	10	100
16	0.05%	5.02%	0.21	1.089	10	100
>=17	0.07%	6.42%	0.19	1.075	10	100
	Average Bet	Results	Results	Results	Std Dev	Std Dev	Risk of Ruin	Perform	Perform	Perform	Perform	Rounds	Std Err	Std Err	Std Err
Bets	Average Bet	%W/L	Win/Rnd	Win/Hour	Round	Hour	Risk of Ruin	DI	SCORE	CE	CE/WR	N0	%W/L	Win/Hour	SCORE
Optimal	$22.70	0.90%	$0.20	$20.42	$40.67	$406.72	0.70%	5.02	25.21	$12.15	0.59	39,672	0.009	$0.20	0.49
Custom	$22.70	0.90%	$0.20	$20.42	$40.67	$406.72	0.70%	5.02	25.21	$12.15	0.59	39,672	0.009	$0.20	0.49

[refinery]

Your optimal stats should be different than your custom stats.

I would use custom ramp at 10-35-70-100, not 10-25-50-100 unless the heat would be too much. Around my region there would be no problem.

I changed the Simplify option from Rational Bets to Minimum Chip Size, which made the ramp 10-40-70-100. Then I set the custom ramp to Three's suggested 10-35-70-100.

	Count Freq.	Win/ Loss	EV	Standard Deviation	Optimal Bets	Custom
Count	Count Freq.	Win/ Loss	Std. Error	Standard Deviation	Exact	Bets
<=-1	39.53%	-2.02%	0.01	1.14	1	10
0	29.03%	-0.57%	0.01	1.128	1	10
1	8.09%	0.05%	0.02	1.126	1	10
2	8.38%	0.58%	0.02	1.126	3.94	35
3	4.04%	1.07%	0.02	1.127	7.19	70
4	4.02%	1.55%	0.02	1.126	10	100
5	1.99%	2.12%	0.03	1.12	10	100
6	1.80%	2.51%	0.04	1.117	10	100
7	0.91%	3.16%	0.05	1.109	10	100
8	0.83%	3.29%	0.05	1.107	10	100
9	0.38%	4.12%	0.08	1.098	10	100
10	0.39%	3.97%	0.08	1.101	10	100
11	0.13%	5.02%	0.13	1.087	10	100
12	0.19%	4.54%	0.11	1.096	10	100
13	0.04%	5.87%	0.25	1.08	10	100
14	0.10%	4.66%	0.16	1.091	10	100
15	0.01%	6.42%	0.51	1.069	10	100
16	0.05%	5.02%	0.21	1.089	10	100
>=17	0.07%	6.42%	0.19	1.075	10	100
	Average Bet	Results	Results	Results	Std Dev	Std Dev	Risk of Ruin	Perform	Perform	Perform	Perform	Rounds	Std Err	Std Err	Std Err
Bets	Average Bet	%W/L	Win/Rnd	Win/Hour	Round	Hour	Risk of Ruin	DI	SCORE	CE	CE/WR	N0	%W/L	Win/Hour	SCORE
Optimal	$24.76	0.89%	$0.22	$22.02	$43.37	$433.72	0.90%	5.08	25.76	$12.61	0.57	38,812	0.009	$0.22	0.52
Custom	$24.35	0.89%	$0.22	$21.77	$42.91	$429.10	0.90%	5.07	25.74	$12.56	0.58	38,848	0.009	$0.22	0.52

[Meistro123]

.38% advantage at TC +1
.87% advantage at TC +2
1.37% advantage at TC +3


Actually this is without accounting for RSA so it should be actually better than this.

Simply multiply your advantage by your bankroll and .75 to find your bet. Or divide by 2 after that if u r chicken. Looks like you should be able to do 2 x table max at TC +3 no problem.

See if they will let you spread horizontally for higher counts.

[weballinoutacontro]

Just wanted to say thanks for all of the above from everyone. Appreciate the help - worked out.

[ZenMaster_Flash]

.38% advantage at TC +1
.87% advantage at TC +2
1.37% advantage at TC +3

The above looks quite incorrect, but maybe I am wrong here.
What rules and what count are being plugged-in here?
This certainly looks like Hi-Lo but to have a -.38% at +1 would
require a House Advantage of just 0.12%

[Meistro123]

The rules and count I plugged in were the ones described by OP in his post. Keep in mind that the advantage at TC +1 is not right at TC 1.00 but in fact an average of your advantage from TC 1 to TC 1.99 and of course the fact that he is playing double deck is important as well +(.19% according to WoO.)

[stopgambling]

Isn't Tc 1 includes 1.01 to 1.99 ? also the advantage at Tc 1 is a bit more than .5%( only an average) advantage . it is something of .7 % if i remembered correctly.

[stopgambling]

start with 2 and forget about dropping to 1 and play as fast as you can may help .