See the top rated post in this thread. Click here

Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast
Results 1 to 13 of 31

Thread: The irrelevance of Advantage Players by Nicholas Colon

  1. #1


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No

    The irrelevance of Advantage Players by Nicholas Colon

    The article with the above title is in the latest Blackjack Insider. My subscription has expired so I could not read it.

    Anyone read it? Is he saying the casinos should not worry about AP's or that AP's are losers or what?

  2. #2


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Basically the former. He elaborates on the fact that a very small percentage of players come into a casino with a form of basic strategy, and an even slimmer percentage come in with accurate counting abilities. The surveillance companies use fear of losing money to get the casinos on board with their services. But because of the small percentage of AP's coming around, they are losing money in the long run.

  3. #3


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    I am convinced that many small town casinos have elected to forego constant surveillance. Mediocre rules and pen is sufficient with Pit on the lookout for big spreaders and winners. Why pay $30-$40k on salary for a surveillance guy? Who would travel to a casino, miles away from the next to play an H17, DD game with D on 9-11, no DAS or a 6 deck H17, no S and a 1.5+ deck cut off?

    The rare ones who do would last 30 minutes.

  4. #4


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    There are a lot of ways for casinos to deal with counters. The absolute stupidest way is to reduce penetration on games. The rounds lost per hour (24/7) cost the casino way more than the occasional winning AP. The casinos are so inept, they think they have to turn all their games to sh...t just to keep the boogie-man away.

    What's so hard about identifying a guy who's displaying signs of counting, evaluating his play and then backing off if deemed a threat?

  5. #5
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jun 2015
    Location
    Greenbelt MD
    Posts
    109


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    so there are a small percentage of AP that are actually making a profit with BJ reason being is the pen, rules, heat are the younger generation as lost interested in card games
    Last edited by zbest1966; 04-30-2017 at 04:05 PM.

  6. #6


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    If a casino had deep pen, good rules, and didn't care about "the occasional counter", I guarantee counters are going to start flocking there and putting in the hours. Sure, one counter making $1k/wk in EV isn't bad for the casino.....but if they do nothing about it, it's gonna turn into 15 counters each making $10k/wk in EV.

    I'm not sure about the whole pen thing, either. On busy nights when it's standing room only, sure, I get that. But many places aren't jam packed most of the time. Deeper pen could mean fewer players playing because they lose their money quicker....empty tables means fewer players will sit down to play (they'd rather play at a full table). Not that this is the direct reason for shitty pen, but it's a side effect that I think can benefit the casino in the proper circumstances.
    "Everyone wants to be rich, but nobody wants to work for it." -Ryan Howard [The Office]

  7. #7
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    3rd rock from Sol, Milky Way Galaxy
    Posts
    14,158


    0 out of 1 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by RollingStoned View Post
    If a casino had deep pen, good rules, and didn't care about "the occasional counter", I guarantee counters are going to start flocking there and putting in the hours. Sure, one counter making $1k/wk in EV isn't bad for the casino.....but if they do nothing about it, it's gonna turn into 15 counters each making $10k/wk in EV.
    It is sad that the AP's you know would share info about their best finds that would result in burning their best opportunities. I know of many that cut off 1/2 deck from the shoe. One backs off quickly but most let you play as long as you aren't too obvious like using the count they use to catch you.
    Last edited by Three; 05-01-2017 at 11:55 PM.

  8. #8


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by moses View Post
    ...Or what is the harm in allowing them to play "nice."

    People are reluctant to a approach an empty table. But a confident player serves as a magnet. Especially, to someone under the infuence of alcohol .

    Come out come out where ever you are.
    Suppose a players wins $500 a session. Can we all agree this doesnt hurt anyone? They play 10 sessions a week spread over 5 casinos. A 60% win record equals $1,000 a week profit. An ultra conservative estimate is 50% of the time a player will jump in and lose $500. The table that sits empty for hours suggests they would've walked on by. That's $2500 a week in extra profit from an AP luring an idiot to make a deposit in your bank.

    So c'mon maaaan. Deal a fair game. RELAX.
    There's a particular reservation store, not far from where I live. A few others have been bounced, though I've continued to play nice. That being said, they still go ape shit when I'm spotted, which doesn't take long. Countermeasures are immediately instituted, which include 2.5-3 decks to be cut, instructions to dealers to deal slow.

    Why I play this crap, is I still beat them, can drive to fairly quickly - with generally the dumbest dealers on earth, who don't know what 2.5 decks cut look like, can't count to 21, and when told to deal slow assume I'm a simpleton and speed up as as soon as I encourage them.

  9. #9


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    It is sad that the AP's you know would share info about their vest finds that would result in burning their bast opportunities.
    I didn't say nor imply what I or the AP's I know would do or share. If there's a good opportunity, especially a card-counting play, people are going to find out about the game. They'll find out themselves by scouting, playing, and realizing there's no heat....or they'll get called in by a teammate.....or they'll get called in by someone in their network and they'll strike a deal.

    So I don't really buy the "they shouldn't worry about that 1 player"....because guess what -- there isn't just one AP going after a game.


    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    I know of many that cut off 1/2 deck from the shoe. One backs off quickly but most let you play as long as you aren't too obvious like using the count they use to catch you.
    Saying shit like this is why half the forum probably has you blocked.
    "Everyone wants to be rich, but nobody wants to work for it." -Ryan Howard [The Office]

  10. #10
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    3rd rock from Sol, Milky Way Galaxy
    Posts
    14,158


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by RollingStoned View Post
    Saying shit like this is why half the forum probably has you blocked.
    It's what I have seen. The people that use counts too similar to catchers talk about how sweaty a place is and get the tap spreading far less than my team and in short order while we play and get the red carpet treatment. I am sure they know I count but they think I am the craziest and dumbest counter around because they don't understand what I do. From their system's perspective, I do all kinds of totally idiotic stuff. But most of it is perfect play from the perspective of my system. My cover is my system. I add in a lot of almost cost free things to reinforce this impression. If I used a similar system to what they used I would need to do things that are stupid from my perspective to look stupid.

  11. #11


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    It's what I have seen. The people that use counts too similar to catchers talk about how sweaty a place is and get the tap spreading far less than my team and in short order while we play and get the red carpet treatment. I am sure they know I count but they think I am the craziest and dumbest counter around because they don't understand what I do. From their system's perspective, I do all kinds of totally idiotic stuff. But most of it is perfect play from the perspective of my system. My cover is my system. I add in a lot of almost cost free things to reinforce this impression. If I used a similar system to what they used I would need to do things that are stupid from my perspective to look stupid.

    Tthree, just because the casinos cannot figure out what you are up to, when they associate your face as being a winning player, there is not going to be a red carpet treatment. The bottom line, is all that matters to the casinos, and your play, and results will speak for itself. Why would they take a little longer look/ risk at your game when there are millions of ploppies? I think your above quote is not only wrong but silly as well.
    Last edited by BoSox; 05-02-2017 at 08:36 AM.

  12. #12


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    It's what I have seen. The people that use counts too similar to catchers talk about how sweaty a place is and get the tap spreading far less than my team and in short order while we play and get the red carpet treatment. I am sure they know I count but they think I am the craziest and dumbest counter around because they don't understand what I do. From their system's perspective, I do all kinds of totally idiotic stuff. But most of it is perfect play from the perspective of my system. My cover is my system. I add in a lot of almost cost free things to reinforce this impression. If I used a similar system to what they used I would need to do things that are stupid from my perspective to look stupid.
    T3, from this and other posts, one feels that you must be increasing bets with your system when the Hi Lo count is negative and lowering bets when the Hi Lo count is positive far too often. Otherwise, it's unlikely they would be fooled for long.

  13. #13


    1 out of 1 members found this post helpful. Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by moses View Post
    I'm convinced JC has risen and already came again. For whatever reason, HE decided to stop in Philly and play some blackjack.
    A candidate for the holy rollers?

Page 1 of 3 123 LastLast

Similar Threads

  1. UK advantage players
    By Heisenberg in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 3
    Last Post: 06-06-2016, 01:20 PM
  2. accociating in casino with non advantage players
    By mhb in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 24
    Last Post: 12-13-2013, 08:57 PM
  3. Replies: 15
    Last Post: 09-17-2012, 10:31 AM
  4. Why advantage players play
    By Solo player in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 43
    Last Post: 03-12-2012, 01:29 AM
  5. landyacht: RV advantage players
    By landyacht in forum Blackjack Main
    Replies: 7
    Last Post: 07-19-2005, 05:48 PM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

About Blackjack: The Forum

BJTF is an advantage player site based on the principles of comity. That is, civil and considerate behavior for the mutual benefit of all involved. The goal of advantage play is the legal extraction of funds from gaming establishments by gaining a mathematic advantage and developing the skills required to use that advantage. To maximize our success, it is important to understand that we are all on the same side. Personal conflicts simply get in the way of our goals.