Originally Posted by
Tthree
I have played in places that people say have rigged shufflers. I beat the shit out of them. The truth is the people are either bad at CC or can't see variance or can't see other reasons for results. I tracked results carefully and determined what conditions contributed to poor results. Then I avoided those conditions and my results improved greatly. These people that see figged this or whatever will never learn why they actually lose. Usually the places that seem to offer the best games are toughest to beat. They are not cheating. The variance is high on great games. The margin for error is much less forgiving. Combine the 2 and you have trouble. As the last card approaches any error in anything is greatly magnified. The increase in any kind of human error from counting error to memory error to deck estimation error exponentially increases the randomness of results when you are playing with the most variance. I have had places that kicked my ass most of the time so I went there less. Eventually I started winning most of the time and went there more and vise versa. That is variance. When you always get beat there is a reason and you should figure out why because it is very unlikely the casino is cheating. You just have more to learn. Careful observation of what places aren't killing you because of variance will teach you advanced lessons in AP by figuring out why. If you believe you are being cheated and don't try to understand what is actually going on you are destined to continually fail where you could learn to succeed.
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