Quote Originally Posted by moses View Post
A person could drive themselves nuts with the stupid little nuances. Just count the damn cards and make money. Focus on the 98% and stop fretting over the 2%. People start thinking the 2% is 98% of the battle. This is why handicappers go broke. I dunno, maybe every one is rich in Pa. But here, today will be like any other day of the song "Another One Bites the Dust."
The little things add up to like an additional 15 to 20%. Think of how many things you write off because they aren't worth much. I only need these few indices because it captures 80% of all indices. I want the other 20%. I don't want to leave that money with the casino. I don't want to know how to play a player option to its best EV because that rarely happens. There goes another 1%. I don't want to know what to with information about a card whether it be the next card, the hole card or a card that will come out a predetermined time. There goes a few more percent. I could go on but you get the idea. As you start to add them up it becomes significant.

It is like coaching a basketball team and thinking the game is mostly about shooting, rebounding and dribbling so you never teach your players anything else. How does that affect your chances to win against a team that worked on all that but also defense, clock management, ball handling, inbounding, etc? Have you ever watched how hard a team is to beat when they are doing everything they should? Many teams look like turkeys for most of the game and then they play 5 minutes the way they should play the entire game and they look unbeatable. Why? Because they are worrying about all the little things they didn't for the rest of the game. They would have won overwhelmingly if they had played the entire game like all the little things mattered (the way they played that 5 minutes).

The thinking that lots of things aren't worth much so you shouldn't worry about them costs you a lot especially when you consider improvements compound on each other so an extra percentage here and there add up to more than the sum of the gains. You will lower n0, increase EV and SCORE, decrease SD and win sessions you would have lost. Play BJ like the basketball team played that 5 minutes where they looked unbeatable. Don't play like the same team that lost the game.
Quote Originally Posted by moses View Post
Thinking you can cut into six decks and steer the card to yourself with a table full of ploppies.
What AP is going to be playing with a full table of ploppies? That is a recipe for disaster. Come on man. You are talking like Zee now. But there are teams that do that by taking up most of the spots. You really need to think a lot more before you post. Think I have this info how can I use it to increase EV. You think I have this info but I have no idea how I can make the most of it. Skills learned to make a tiny bit extra EV on this situation often can be used in other situations where they are worth a lot more. Sometimes a lot more than the counting game itself is worth. Being able to know when a particular card or slug will hit the table is an extremely valuable skill. Being able to cut an exact number of cards makes that skill even more valuable. Learn some more and you may be trading your 1% to 2% card counting advantage into a 10% advantage. That makes learning the skill necessary to get that little bit for this play look like it will be well worth it for the end game maximizing the advantage that your skill set can allow. The way you gather info and the way you use the info gathered can make all the difference in the world.