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Thread: Advice

  1. #1


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    Advice

    Hello to all. First post here. I am a noob and have just beat the 40 second speed range for the 1 deck counter drill. I am going to go to the casino tonight with $300. $15 minimum bet which I plan to stick with until count gets high, will change to $20 when it does. I've been to the casino 2 times this week. First time I went in with $60 and walked away with $300. Second time went in with $200 and walked away with a $85 profit. Both times just sticking to basic strategy...

    1. Any advice for little noob me with counting cards?

    2. Does it matter if I go in half way through a shoe or should I go in at the beginning?

    Thank you

  2. #2
    Senior Member Jabberwocky's Avatar
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    It's time consuming to throw your money away with a zero bankroll. Lottery tickets would be much faster.

  3. #3


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    Is $15 the table minimum or your min bet? I'm assuming you're just doing this for practice or fun as you're only "spreading" to $20 and are only bringing $300. Expect lots of criticism here with this plan regardless.


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  4. #4


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    Quote Originally Posted by Banjoclan View Post
    Is $15 the table minimum or your min bet? I'm assuming you're just doing this for practice or fun as you're only "spreading" to $20 and are only bringing $300. Expect lots of criticism here with this plan regardless.


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    Yes $15 is min

  5. #5


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    If my odds are 51.5% how am I not walking away a winner flat betting 20 times

  6. #6


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    And if the true count is what's most important, then shouldn't I just wait till a deck is left to jump in?

  7. #7


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    Quote Originally Posted by kt333 View Post
    If my odds are 51.5% how am I not walking away a winner flat betting 20 times
    Long term, you will lose 47%, win 43%, tie 10%. You will win on bet spread, doubles and splits. Your bet spread won't win any money long term. Also, appears that you have an inadequate bankroll to survive the roller coaster.

    I see nothing wrong with a low spread basic game, provided that you are prepared to lose the money - consider the excercise as school, and the lost money as a tuition expense. This assumes that you have access to funds and are willing to invest time and effort in learning your count system, along with the accompanying indexes.

  8. #8


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    Quote Originally Posted by kt333 View Post
    If my odds are 51.5% how am I not walking away a winner flat betting 20 times
    Variance


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  9. #9


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    Quote Originally Posted by kt333 View Post
    Hello to all. First post here. I am a noob and have just beat the 40 second speed range for the 1 deck counter drill. I am going to go to the casino tonight with $300. $15 minimum bet which I plan to stick with until count gets high, will change to $20 when it does.

    Thank you
    Well, I was going by this. Nowhere is there a 51.5% odds explained.


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  10. #10


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    Quote Originally Posted by kt333 View Post
    If my odds are 51.5% how am I not walking away a winner flat betting 20 times
    This assumes a winning spread, and ability. I'm assuming someone told you that a counters edge of 1.5%. Flat betting, there is no edge. Playing perfect basic, depending on rules, you are probably -.5%..

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