Sharky's NFL Play-o-the-Weak 2015

**Sharky** · 09-12-2015, 08:19 AM

Coming off of a 14-6 campaign last year (of course, previous results are no guarantee of future results…lol) I bring you this year’s play-o-the-weak and what better way to ring in the 2015 season then a MNF matchup.

The SAN FRANCISCO 49ers play host to the Vikings in the ‘late night’ MNF game this week – perhaps they thought we couldn’t wait to bet the final game of the opening week? Well, they were wrong as this is a matchup of 2 teams going very different directions.

The 49ers have lost a lot….be it suspension, injury, felonious activity, retirement, free agency, or deflection…while the Vikings have gotten back perhaps the best RB in AP (“forget Dickerson’s 2105, I’m shooting for 2500 yards”) and also added speedster wideout Wallace who should stretch the weak 49ers secondary. This will open up the run although after losing Justin Smith, Borland, Willis, McDonald, & Aldon Smith – they are clearly not the same “D”. All-Pro LB NaVorro Bowman returns after missing all of last year rehabbing that nasty knee injury in the 2013 NFC Championship game, but it won’t be enough.

SF finished last year losing 5 of their last 6 (and 0-6-1 ATS) while being outscored 78-115, while the Vikes finished 3-3 and 5-1 ATS…expect much the same to start this year under new coach Tomsula…take the Vikings -2 for an EZ win.

GOOD LUCK!

Sharky

**Three** · 09-12-2015, 08:24 AM

Nice analysis Sharky. Like the pick.

**ZenMaster_Flash** · 11-20-2015, 08:50 AM

Last week I was 2 - 0

This week: Chalk.

Worth mentioning <?> Nah.?

I had 2 winning 'dogs last week

Patriots -7 over Buffalo
Eagles -5.5 over Buccaneers
Panthers -7 over Washington

**Gamblor** · 09-13-2015, 08:50 AM

Definitely was leaning on Vikings too. Agreed Minnesota should be sneaky strong and of course SF bad, but tough to pull the trigger against a home dog.

BUF +1.5 vs Ind - Buffalo should get some wind in the sail with Rex Ryan
Miami -4 vs WAS - Washington is likely to get the first pick (so they can ruin Cardale Jone's career too), Miami should be solid/good
STL +3.5 vs Sea - Should at least be close between these too rivals, often is, Seattle wins 16-13

OAK +3 vs Cincy - I'll take the up and coming Raiders vs flat Cincy. Can't say Cincy is clearly a much better team than Oakland this season. Plus travel.

**JPhoenixX** · 09-13-2015, 09:08 AM

I'm waiting to see how Petersons year off is going to affect him.

**Gamblor** · 09-17-2015, 04:59 PM

3-1 last week. Friggin Jack Del Rio and Oakland, should of known better than to bet on him.

Take KC -3 vs Den. KC at homefield should be rocking, Reid/KC has a tendency to start strong. Denver winning a somewhat close one at home is a bit disconcerting, and not too crazy about Denver D as others are, I don't think its easy to turn a meh D one year, into a strong D the next year. So yeah Denver D is a bit overrated right now.

Wish I got this around KC -1.5

**Gamblor** · 09-17-2015, 09:09 PM

Oh dammit fuq me with a late game defensive TD lol.

**Sharky** · 09-20-2015, 06:14 AM

Tampa Bay visits NEW ORLEANS today coming off of a home opening day loss with a defense that was, well, offensive yielding 4 TDs and a perfect QB rating to rookie Titan QB Mariota....expect Brees and SAINTS to feast in their home opener...take NEW ORLEANS -10 for this week' play.

GOOD LUCK,

Sharky

Last week: 0-1
Season: 0-1

**Tbonz** · 09-20-2015, 07:25 AM

I follow a guy that has the Patriots +1 over the Bills today. Claims the public is hugely over reacting to Bills win over the Colts in week 1.

**Gamblor** · 09-20-2015, 08:08 AM

Have to say Sharky, yeah TB is baaaad, but tough to take -10 this early in the season. Almost tempted to take TB just for the sake of +10.

And Tbonz, yeah it is a bit of an overreaction (I expected Buff to win handily against Indy, as it was a good matchup). But the Bills are a bad matchup for Pats, so can't bite. Should be a close one.

stl -3 vs WAS - STONE COLD LOCK OF THE CENTURY OF THE WEEK. St. Louis might finally be shaping up, always had a lot of talented pieces. And of course Washington should be in the competition for the 1st pick in the draft.
nyj +7 vs INDY - That's a lot of points. Jets at least have a serviceable game manager this year, which is a huge improvement for that team. And the Jets are somewhat the same bad matchup for Indy as Buffalo was.

**Tbonz** · 09-20-2015, 09:35 AM

Yeah, I just think the Pats even with a questionable defense will scheme to get a pass rush on the Bills young QB and really put pressure on him. With McCoy having a bad hammy I think the Bills will be punchless on offense. Even if the Bills D plays well.....they won't completely shut down Brady. Steelers found out Brady is out to prove something this year after the deflate gate nonsense. I think the Bills are going to find out too.

**Gamblor** · 09-20-2015, 11:08 AM

Sorry for the bad advice Tbonz, but its looking like the Patriots are going to win handily (of course can never be so sure so early).

Guess all the Bills smacktalk gave Bellicheck some motivational material for the Patriots.