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Thread: Have I just been lucky? Up $6600 over about 45-50 trips to local casino.

  1. #40
    Senior Member Bodarc's Avatar
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    mafaso, just to shed some light on how lucky you are, here are a few statistics. You should be losing about .40% on every dollar you bet or if you are flat betting $25 per hand, -$10 per hour. If your average trip is 2 hours, you should be down about $ 1,000.00. You say you are up $ 9,600.00. This is way past 3 standard deviations and the probability of it happening is around .01%, about the same as hitting a lottery. Three standard deviations in either direction would put you down $ 9,500.00 or up $ 7,500.00. You are ahead more than that so to put it into perspective, it's about the same as being hit by lightening on a clear day.
    Play within your bankroll, pick your games with care and learn everything you can about the game. The winning will come. It has to. It's in the cards. -- Bryce Carlson

  2. #41


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    Agree with KJ here! That's what got my BR going. I started with almost nothing and played with an extremely high RoR. Hit a nice run of positive variance and had a nice starting BR. Now I've adjusted my betting level so my RoR is much, much lower (less than 4%). To mafaso: take your good fortune and use it as a starting BR for AP.

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