Originally Posted by
Dieter
I'm not BS'ing. I'm also speaking rather abstractly.
I'm reasonably confident this is the case when you're building any play against a shuffle.
That said, I've never seen a random shuffle. I've heard (and believe) that if you have a good source of randomness, a Fisher-Yates shuffle can be truly random, in ways others cannot. Some of the newer "elevator" shufflers may be there - I think the PRNG in the newer models is significantly different than in some of the older models.
The basis for most plays against a shuffle is that some cards aren't fully mixed, so you have some knowledge of conditions when playing against a certain position in the deck.
My questions - are all the cards fully mixed? If not, which cards aren't? Is there a way to know when that group of cards is being dealt? Is there anything you can infer about that group of cards, based on other information?
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