Introducing Myself

[bjarg]

You're doing good cowboy......don't change a thing.

Haha that cracked me up.

[NotEnoughHeat]

it seems that counting is the only way to increase ones advantage in BJ.

I can't tell you have many times I have ran into websites that say counting is the only way to gain an advantage in BJ. This is false and is only a result of the public's ignorance of the many plays employed by APs. I don't mind it when websites keep the masses a little ignorant, but if you really want to grow as an AP you can't think of the sword as the only weapon that can defeat a lion. There's a plethora of other ways if you keep your mind open.

[ArpTheFuture]

So before we get Yellow Jaundice, how is that system working out for you KC? Doing well with it?

Lol

[mustang]

I can't tell you have many times I have ran into websites that say counting is the only way to gain an advantage in BJ. This is false and is only a result of the public's ignorance of the many plays employed by APs. I don't mind it when websites keep the masses a little ignorant, but if you really want to grow as an AP you can't think of the sword as the only weapon that can defeat a lion. There's a plethora of other ways if you keep your mind open.

Yeah that wasn't worded correctly. I rather meant that counting is the moat fundamental skill in APBJ.

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[zergy]

That's my betting system, but I don't live and die by it. Sometimes I'll just bet the table minimum during the middle of the session.

So you have a system that you believe is working, but you don't even follow it? Can anyone kinda sometimes follow your system and make money? What makes you a winning player when most everyone looses money? What exactly do you do that gives you an advantage over the casino?

You can answer these questions here if you want, but they are meant as a mental exercise for you.

[Three]

What exactly do you do that gives you an advantage over the casino?

This is the key question. You can't make a string of bets at a disadvantage and end up at an advantage. It is like saying if I add up enough negative numbers I will eventually get a positive answer. Obviously the sum just keeps getting more and more negative. That is what is happening to your expectation and if you play enough hands your results will approach expectation. What throws Martingalers is it takes a long time to place enough top bets for the results of the top bet to approach expectation. Before that happens you are either getting killed by losing the top bet more than normal and give up or you are winning it more than normal and delude yourself into believing adding enough negative numbers together will give you a positive sum eventually. The truth is eventually your results will approach that ever growing negative sum.

[ZenMaster_Flash]

Ignoring "pushes" the BJ player can expect to average almost

43% winning hands in a S17 game and a bit less if H17

The House will win 48 to 49% of the hands.

To see how simple it is to lose let us say 8 consecutive bets

take 49% -- that is 0.49 and raise it to the 8th power.

That means simply multiplying 0.49 X 0.49 X 0.49 X 0.49 X 0.49 X 0.49 X 0.49 X 0.49

Whip out your calendar. The answer will be a small number - below 2%

Small but you will see it about once in every 50 strings of 8 hands.

If you play a lot that means that you will see it rather often.

[metronome]

Other forums don't take kindly to dumb questions but this one is better.

Yeah Right

[Masterhoudini]

What is your definition of doing really well? Just gimme a rough estimate on how many hours you've played and how much you're up overall. Let's be honest here. I'll start and go for broke-hmmmmm 100k using martingale, or some variation you use.