I'm new to the forum and am looking for some help, and I'll be honest, I don't want to count cards. I want to go to the casino and not have to worry about heat and cover and everything else that comes with counting. I just want to have fun... so I play Oscar's grind and have done quite well with it over the years, sometimes big wins, and sometimes big losses. I have been working on some variations to it and I am deep in the rabbit hole and looks like I need simulation help if someone is willing to oblige. I will certainly set up a number of circumstances and or questions if any one can help, and here is the first one:

1. When in recovery with the grind there is a point that I call the 'tipping point' in which the amount of betting units down (x), has a better chance of recovery or not. Example: we are betting $1 units and are at the $10 recovery bet and are 100 units down, meaning we are exactly 10 betting units down right now, so are we likely to recover or less likely to recover from this point?

I understand that we can recover (or not) from any point of our betting unit, but there is a number that is more likely then less likely, this is our tipping point, and it should read like at 10x betting units down we have a 52% chance of recovery (more likely) and 48% chance of not recovering (less likely).

Would need a bongo sample size on this, and not sure how to program to be able to tell, any help would be fantastic - Thx