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Thread: Risk calculations

  1. #1


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    Risk calculations

    I ran a simulation for 1 deck blackjack game with the rules H17,DAS with 2 billion hand sessions. I set the minimum to $3 a single deck game with favorable rule is often not found in high limit. I use strategy deviation from Hi-lo and vary my bet according to the count.The house edge for that game is about -0.03 to -0.043 with 50% penetration. In the sim I set the betting to play two hands. Using Hi-lo with Sweet 16 and fab 4. The %W/L is 1.51% with a SCORE = 130.34 and N0 = 7672.

    What I am trying to figure out is the percentage of losing sessions, bankrupt sessions and how many hands do I need to play before I go bankrupt on average. Suppose I have a $2000 bankroll.

    Could someone do a calculation for me or show me how to do the calculation.

  2. #2


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    Quote Originally Posted by seriousplayer View Post
    I ran a simulation for 1 deck blackjack game with the rules H17,DAS with 2 billion hand sessions. I set the minimum to $3 a single deck game with favorable rule is often not found in high limit. I use strategy deviation from Hi-lo and vary my bet according to the count.The house edge for that game is about -0.03 to -0.043 with 50% penetration. In the sim I set the betting to play two hands. Using Hi-lo with Sweet 16 and fab 4. The %W/L is 1.51% with a SCORE = 130.34 and N0 = 7672.

    What I am trying to figure out is the percentage of losing sessions, bankrupt sessions and how many hands do I need to play before I go bankrupt on average. Suppose I have a $2000 bankroll.

    Could someone do a calculation for me or show me how to do the calculation.
    Is it really worth even doing the math on a game that will never exist?

  3. #3


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    Quote Originally Posted by Exoter175 View Post
    Is it really worth even doing the math on a game that will never exist?
    That game exist but I am not going to say where.

  4. #4


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    Quote Originally Posted by seriousplayer View Post
    That game exist but I am not going to say where.
    Anything other than the El Cortez? lol might have the rules wrong in the calc if it is.

  5. #5
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  6. #6


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    Quote Originally Posted by Exoter175 View Post
    Anything other than the El Cortez? lol might have the rules wrong in the calc if it is.
    It is not the El Cortez I want to keep this place a secret because I don't want the casino to take that game away.

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