See the top rated post in this thread. Click here

Results 1 to 10 of 10

Thread: Where is the win coming from?

Threaded View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. 06-08-2014, 04:01 PM #1
    seriousplayer
    seriousplayer is offline
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Posts
    2,591

    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No

    Where is the win coming from?

    As APs we know that we have an advantage by counting cards. How much we win depends on how long we play. From the theory of card counting we know that when the count turns positive the probability of our overall win is still 42.42%, lose of 49.10% and tie 8.49%. With a positive count we are more successful with the splits, double downs and blackjacks. Also, dealer bust rate increases. Surrender and insurance is more valuable to the players at positive counts.

    If the overall probability of win, lose and tie don't change when we are counting cards why do we have a greater probability of being ahead? In Modern Blackjack and Blackjack Attack it shows that our probability of being ahead exceeds the overall probability of our loses (49.10%). So where did the win come from?

    http://www.qfit.com/book/ModernBlackjackPage415.htm
    http://www.qfit.com/book/ModernBlackjackPage416.htm
    Last edited by seriousplayer; 06-08-2014 at 04:33 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
« Previous Thread | Next Thread »

Similar Threads

  1. New casino coming to Gr Yarmouth
    By essexboy in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 0
    Last Post: 08-29-2013, 03:56 AM
  2. Backoff coming??
    By BJNewbeeNoMore in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 14
    Last Post: 07-12-2013, 08:32 AM
  3. ACEAP: the ace is coming. For DON, Norm etc
    By ACEAP in forum Blackjack Main
    Replies: 5
    Last Post: 06-21-2006, 03:35 PM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Forum Rules

Other QFIT Sites

Internal Links

About Blackjack: The Forum

BJTF is an advantage player site based on the principles of comity. That is, civil and considerate behavior for the mutual benefit of all involved. The goal of advantage play is the legal extraction of funds from gaming establishments by gaining a mathematic advantage and developing the skills required to use that advantage. To maximize our success, it is important to understand that we are all on the same side. Personal conflicts simply get in the way of our goals.