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Thread: pr and goodwill after a substantial loss

  1. #40


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    Quote Originally Posted by njrich View Post
    WOW! There are so many things wrong with this it's hard to think of where to start so I'll start with the things that irk me the most.

    WTF? Do you care about PR towards them you just lost 6k and should be looking for them to kiss your ass.
    Second: Stop worrying about the comp level and worry about your BR if you keep this level of play up your not going to have a BR to play at all.

    Then what? You sit at home and feel stupid for not taking the advice you were given here now? C'mon Man!
    I thank you for your advice that basically I don't have the
    br to play bj for comps and that I should protect my br.

    that means a low ror and positive ev.

    so with my current br of some 23k how much
    should my max bet, and how much ror be when min min bet needs
    to be 25 which is the usual min at the casino
    I frequent with excellent dd??

    now with my mobility limitations keep in mind
    that I cannot backcount 6 d games and I can
    only do a little of wonging out of this dd game.

    keep in mind that I cannot move around different
    casinos to play one hour here and one hour there
    in las vegas where one can find dd minimus lower
    than the 25; and also where the dd games are watched
    very close with much heat.

    I seem to be between an rock and a hard place
    with the situation.

    please advise..

  2. #41


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    Get a partner and another 25k?

  3. #42


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    I assume you have an electric wheel chair or an electric scooter so you're not 100% dependent on a caregiver. I have a parent that has uses one and am surprised at how far they go between charges.

    You can't backcount 6 D games but you could wong out at TC of -1 or -2 or wong in place occasionally (phone call). If you can also find a low min then a massive spread can accomplish the same. In Vegas there are a few stores on the south strip that have late surrender and $10 mins. I would think you could get between them without a car using the pedestrian bridges, elevators and rails if you have an electric scooter.

    You need to do the sims yourself get CVCX. I think you will find a betting strategy on 6D using at least a 20:1 spread (example 10 to 2 x100) which will produce a low ror using 1/4 Kelly betting. I would adjust with the sim until you get N0 under 20,000 hands and a SCORE of 50. Do this for the DD games. Maybe even consider a northern NV game (SD).

    After you finish your sims then the other question to ask is:" Am I likely to get to N0 hands". Your limited mobility restricts the number of games you can access and getting to N0 might be difficult. Will one or two casinos tolerate N0 hands of play.

    In 2013 my geography and job limited my casino time. I played about 0.5 N0 hands and had a losing year.

    In 2012 I traveled and played 3 N0 hands. My ev was slightly above expected.

    There was a post that bigplayer made which was among my favorite in thinking about the long term/short term and it went something like:

    " In the short term, sharps, squares and the house are all gambling. It's not until the long term that we can be sure of an advantage"

  4. #43
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    Blackjack is a crappy game for generating comps. It doesn't give much to clueless players To someone that can play basic strategy it gets you far less. If you can play at an advantage your comps will be next to nothing and you may get backed off as a result of them tracking you. Play your game and be happy with anything it generates. If you want to play for comps pick a game that generates generous comps and try to slow the bets per hour down as much as possible while using a very mild progression like Oscar's Grind to make you likely to be even or slightly ahead over any trip 's worth of play. I assume like most you will stick to blackjack but there is advantage to be had playing for comps rather than money at other games. At high enough stakes the comps get pretty ridiculous. But then so is your BR requirement. It is probably better to play for bounce back offers and plan trips to maximize return on these. I have a few rotations that generate between $500 to $1000 EV per trip when I visit all the casinos. There is usually an overlap day where you can cash the previous weeks incentives one day and spend the night and cash the next weeks incentives. Throw in some invite-only tournaments or giveaways and all your travel expenses plus some are covered.

  5. #44
    Senior Member Nikky_Flash's Avatar
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    Can't he beat the DD game with a smaller spread than 1-10? like 1-7 or 1-8 for a while ?
    “It seemed to me ... that any civilization that had so far lost its head as to need to include a set of detailed instructions for use in a package of toothpicks, was no longer a civilization in which I could live and stay sane.

  6. #45


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    Quote Originally Posted by Nikky_Flash View Post
    Can't he beat the DD game with a smaller spread than 1-10? like 1-7 or 1-8 for a while ?
    I did a sim for the dd game.
    25 min and 2 hands at 150 for max.
    h17, das, double 9 10 11, split aces once, no s
    80 percent penetration
    3 players and 50 hands dealt per hr.

    57 dollars per hour win rate
    1.4 per cent ror

    what is wrong with this
    please advise..

  7. #46
    Senior Member Nikky_Flash's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mhb View Post
    I did a sim for the dd game.
    25 min and 2 hands at 150 for max.
    h17, das, double 9 10 11, split aces once, no s
    80 percent penetration
    3 players and 50 hands dealt per hr.

    57 dollars per hour win rate
    1.4 per cent ror

    what is wrong with this
    please advise..
    I mean, yeah, sounds great right for a sim? If I were you, I would read over everything the senior members have been saying, go back and read every post one at a time, and consider your best and wisest course of action according to what you know about AP play. The books say to downsize at this point, What can you do to add strength to your game for next time?
    “It seemed to me ... that any civilization that had so far lost its head as to need to include a set of detailed instructions for use in a package of toothpicks, was no longer a civilization in which I could live and stay sane.

  8. #47


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    make sure you are getting 80% pen. Really 80%? ,less common.I would count the exact cards myself or ask someone else to do it.

  9. #48
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    Take your remaining 23k and invest it into ELTP, biotech stock, you wont be disappointed in 1-2 years. Lets just say that. All the doubters around me gonna get some nice messages a couple of years from now.

  10. #49
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    ELTP agreed to sell $40,000,000 worth of stock to Lincoln Park Capital Fund last week. So far no reaction in the stock price other than a slight bump in price that was almost gone by the next day. The stock is predictably down 64% from its high 6 or 7 weeks ago, after the release of positive info on March 5 (successful study about the drug ELI-200) caused a buying driven spike in price. Then a just as predictable settling to a price slightly above the initial price. What an opportunity that was. You could have doubled your money after buying back all the shares you sold. 2 times the investment already in your pocket and still own the shares with nothing invested or you could have tripled your share holdings with no more investment.

  11. #50


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    Quote Originally Posted by Tthree View Post
    ELTP agreed to sell $40,000,000 worth of stock to Lincoln Park Capital Fund last week. So far no reaction in the stock price other than a slight bump in price that was almost gone by the next day. The stock is predictably down 64% from its high 6 or 7 weeks ago, after the release of positive info on March 5 (successful study about the drug ELI-200) caused a buying driven spike in price. Then a just as predictable settling to a price slightly above the initial price. What an opportunity that was. You could have doubled your money after buying back all the shares you sold. 2 times the investment already in your pocket and still own the shares with nothing invested or you could have tripled your share holdings with no more investment.
    This stock is almost 13% up this morning! Maybe I should have blindly listened to you both.
    52 week low is .06.....
    feel free to give random tips like this, next time I will believe you.

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