How's everyone's year to date going?

[BugsySeagull]

My year sucks so far. Had an amazing 2013, and now I'm back down to earth.

[hitthat16]

I should re-clarify my original post. It was my last trip that was six standard deviations in the red as a result.

Overall for the year I am down 36 max bets. Still sucks butt, but not quite as dramatic as made it out to be.

[Dtb239]

Last year was up almost 600 units until the last month or so and hit a very bad negative variance swing. Survived the year up 50 units. This year off to a great start up a 100 units. May positive variance benefit you all.

[G Man]

It's just been worst case scenario. I've crunched the numbers, done sims, I'm playing uncrowded times and good penetration. Just horrible negative variance!

No, you`re deluding yourself. Being 6 SD on the left side of your EV is clearly wrong. You are not playing the game you think you`re playing. Plain and simple. We`re not talking about 2 or even 3 SD, we are talking about 6 SD! This is a chance in a few millions or more.
Mistakes in basics? Counting? Betting? Overall game plan? Cheated? Camouflage? Over estimating your EV? Look for something because this is clearly a sign that something is terribly wrong in your approach to the game.

[hitthat16]

Maybe I'm miscalculating the standard deviation aspect. It's clearly not as bad as I originally thought. I know for a fact that the game I'm playing is the right one. Like I said I've run sims, have memorized b.s. and full indices, can estimate decks plus or minus 2 cards. Also no camo and my betting ramp is pretty straight forward.

I clearly just did something really weird in the arithmetic for the original post.

[G Man]

Nice to hear, however if you want to report results, make them right!

[Smartpart]

Probability of down 6SD is < 1/250M, basically broke.

[ZeeBabar]

I wish I knew how to calculate SD for BJ. My January was the best one I ever had and I played 24 sessions (one 17, lost 7), for a total of 23 hours, playing $10 min 6D. H17 game and won some $5200 spreading $10 to $150 (sometimes via 2 hands of $75 each). I would think I am very lucky, that its probably 2 plus SD and I cannot expect to repeat it.

[Smartpart]

I wish I knew how to calculate SD for BJ. My January was the best one I ever had and I played 24 sessions (one 17, lost 7), for a total of 23 hours, playing $10 min 6D. H17 game and won some $5200 spreading $10 to $150 (sometimes via 2 hands of $75 each). I would think I am very lucky, that its probably 2 plus SD and I cannot expect to repeat it.

If only there were software to output results for you...

[bjarg]

If only there were software to output results for you...

hahahaha best post ever.

[biggg]

I have played only 20-30 shoes while scouting other games and am up 7k with a max bet in the 300-400 range. Am also up in other plays another 5k or so. Good coming off a 25k downswing last year.