Quote Originally Posted by Martin Gale View Post
Obviously I am interested in this because if a reasonable statistical model for an "extreme progression" can show that it is comparable in overall risk to real-world bankroll, as it might be applied in some card-counting venture (with some "acceptable" RoR percentage?) then I will want to put some money into this, and exploit it before the error is corrected.
Card counting hardly affects the number of hands you win. You just do better on your big bets due to having better double and split opportunities with big bets out. being able to surrender properly more often with big bets out. Getting more BJs and using insurance when it is plus EV with big bets out. Progression betting your big bets are more likely to be when you are not at an advantage. Doubles and splits usually don't fit well into a negative progression betting model.