Folks,
Dr. Richard Reid wrote an ebook in the 1990's era titled "Dynamic Blackjack". Apparently originals have been lost and are not available. I am trying to locate a copy. PM me if you have one or know where I can get one.
Regards
Stealth
Folks,
Dr. Richard Reid wrote an ebook in the 1990's era titled "Dynamic Blackjack". Apparently originals have been lost and are not available. I am trying to locate a copy. PM me if you have one or know where I can get one.
Regards
Stealth
Last edited by Stealth; 06-19-2013 at 10:48 AM.
Luck is nothing more than probability taken personally!
At one time I asked Richard's son if he could get me a copy and he couldn't. The book had a chapter about analyzing player results for shared bankroll teams. This chapter is reproduced in Norm's Modern Blackjack . It is fascinating:
http://www.qfit.com/book/ModernBlackjackPage501.htm
Norm sent me his program for analyzing player results. I plugged in my first 50 sessions where I won 300+ units over a 30 hour time-frame. Big swings on my way up and the program told me I was afraid to put the money out. Huh? Then I plugged in my last 80 or so sessions where I lost all 300+ units and then some. Again big swings and I get the same msg. afraid to put the money out. Lastly I plugged in all my sessions up-to-date where I recovered up to 65% of my expectation. Some 150 total sessions again swinging all over the place. Again the msg. afraid to put the money out. I'm puzzled by this since I absolutely shove it out when I should. Otherwise why play. Norm any ideas?
I have done a lot of work with this and will tell you that normalizing your results prior to subjecting them to the litmus test Dr Reid proscribes is necessary. While I have not checked out Norm's code, I do believe the formula he included in his book has an error for the XmR graphing. This is the reason I am searching for a copy Dynamic Blackjack to resolve the situation.Originally Posted by George C
I have an excel file that does the math and creates the graphs and identifies the signals according to Dr. Reid. In my version I normalized the sessions by advantage and by session time (both of which I have for the session under review). The normalization allows for both variable sessions times and different games. I believe the signals generated are legitimate (after the formula correction) albeit not conclusive. They do not identify a problem but rather an abnormality in play that requires more detailed investigation. It is still much better than other guidance I have found in this matter.
It is still a work in process to tighten the analysis in search of guidance regarding abnormal play. Will keep you posted.
PM me if you have more detailed interest.
Stealth
Luck is nothing more than probability taken personally!
After I was accused of not putting the cash out, I was going to do the same exact thing by replicating RRs methodology in Excel. Owing to being lazy and having to go through my entire DB to fix it, I abandoned the project. Now underneath your first post on page 1, you'll see a link from shark that explains what I think you want to know. Give it a shot and post what you find.
Richard lost the original doc when he retired and moved. He told me that I can make any use of the work that I wish. But, I haven't felt comfortable with this. I will look back at our conversation. The chapter Shark mentioned is interesting, and his unique cover idea of alternating bankrolls is a brilliant stroke.
"I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse
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