Zenfighter: A Summer's seagull

[Zenfighter]

GAIN FOR EACH UNIT BET IN FAVORABLE SITUATIONS (%)

6dks, S17, DOA, NDAS, Vegas Strip rules, BSE = -0.54% Hilo (BC = .968187) EoR's = V Strip

 

 

Cards left		Total gain		Hilo gain		Index efficiency 

 

286			0.0177267		0.0156255		0.881469 

260			0.0617839		0.0566842		0.917461 

234			0.113523		0.105765		0.931661 

208			0.171246		0.160932		0.939768 

182			0.236555		0.223604		0.945253 

156			0.312716		0.296881		0.949363 

130			0.405284		0.386103		0.952673 

104			0.524311		0.500978		0.955499 

78			0.690566		0.661596		0.958049 

52			0.957372		0.91956		        0.960505 

39			1.17578		         1.13083                0.961771	 

                                                                                                  

a) The Total gain column show us the amount that can be gained, if and only if,
the player could keep track of every card played so far.

b) Hilo gain is obviously how much can be gained by the accurately application
of our point count system. The realistic column!

c) Index efficiency is simple Hilo gain/Total gain.

d) The theory behind all this is perfectly outlined in Griffin?s TOB (pages 86/90).
Its worth to have a look also at his Atlantic City 6 decks figures (pages 127/128).
We have an inferior game here, nearly impossible to break even with shoes dealt
out until the 78 card level and only a 3 to 1 spread. Using his formula we have:

Avg. gain (3/4 dealt out) = .2408 hence we need then

.2408*(k-1) = .54 for k = 3 we have

.2408*2 = .4816 < .54 so forget it! You?ll need here a 4 to 1 spread (+ 0.18%).

A free vacation on the Strip, assuming you?ll get RFB treatment and can stand
Vegas Summer?s heat!

Regards
Z

[Don Schlesinger]

> .2408*(k-1) = .54 for k = 3 we have
> .2408*2 = .4816 A free vacation on the
> Strip, assuming you?ll get RFB treatment and
> can stand
> Vegas Summer?s heat!
> Regards
> Z

Nice post. BJRM 2000 confirms that, even using the I18, a 1-4 spread has a SCORE of $1.02!!!

In all fairness, however, it is completely standard, along the Strip to have DAS.

Don

[Zenfighter]

Your meager $1.02 SCORE will be a perfect anti Vegas heat weapon. I?m not talking about celcius/fahrenheits here! :-)

Now serious, I was forced to use Griffin?s Eor?s for NDAS, among other things because
I do not have the ones for Vegas Strip and DAS (will look after them). The off the top
negative expectation matches also quite perfectly Euro-trash 6dks rules, you guess it,
don?t you?

Really hot in my country, damn summer!

Best wishes
Z