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Thread: Norm Wattenberger: A pile of Insurance Cover sims

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  1. #1
    Contrail
    Guest

    Contrail: SBA 5.51 also gives +4

    > P.S. From where did you get the +4 SD
    > insurance index for Zen? JA gives +3 in his
    > Systems 101, in BJRM. I'm not a Zen player,
    > so I'm not sure which is more accurate.

    for SD (65.4 % pen.) with the parameter for specifying the confidence in the standard error set to 4.

  2. #2
    Don Schlesinger
    Guest

    Don Schlesinger: Re: SBA 5.51 also gives +4

    > for SD (65.4 % pen.) with the parameter for
    > specifying the confidence in the standard
    > error set to 4.

    Kinda weird, since JA used SBA to derive the indices he catalogued in Systems 101.

    John, are you there?

    Don

  3. #3
    John Auston
    Guest

    John Auston: Re: SBA 5.51 also gives +4

    > Kinda weird, since JA used SBA to derive the
    > indices he catalogued in Systems 101.

    > John, are you there?

    I probably truncated, when I should have rounded.
    Might also not have run enough trials.

    I bet the diff is small, though.

    I'll change it, in future releases.

    John

  4. #4
    Don Schlesinger
    Guest

    Don Schlesinger: Re: SBA 5.51 also gives +4

    > I'll change it, in future releases.

    I wouldn't change one index, unilaterally, if you have used a particular methodology to generate all of your indices for Systems 101.

    Better to explain, upfront, what that methodology is, rather than tweak an occasional number here and there, unless, of course, this wasn't your methodolgy!

    Don

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