WaToiler: Confusion re: dealer bust % per upcard

[WaToiler]

What are the dealer bust percentages (per upcard) for an S17, 6dk game? (or any S17 game if 6dk is not known).

I have not been able to find a solid answer to this anywhere I have looked.

I know that S17 and H17 have different bust rates (especially for an up card of 6 and A)

Lastly, does anyone know the dealer bust percentage per upcard when the (Hi-Lo) true count is known? For example, if I have a true count of +4 and the dealer has a 5, what is the dealer's bust percentage?

[Don Schlesinger]

> What are the dealer bust percentages (per upcard) for
> an S17, 6dk game? (or any S17 game if 6dk is not
> known).

> I have not been able to find a solid answer to this
> anywhere I have looked.

Go here: www.wizardofodds.com/blackjack/appendix2.html

> I know that S17 and H17 have different bust rates
> (especially for an up card of 6 and A)

Not enough to worry about.

> Lastly, does anyone know the dealer bust percentage
> per upcard when the (Hi-Lo) true count is known?

Go here, and look at the last chart:

www.blackjackincolor.com/useless2.htm

It doesn't give you exactly what you're looking for, but it does give you bust rate by true count, across all dealer upcards. What you want is tricky, because it involves several hundred data points, depending on the range of true count, plotted against 10 different dealer upcards. I don't think you'll find that anywhere.

> For example, if I have a true count of +4 and the dealer
> has a 5, what is the dealer's bust percentage?

See above. A little more than the 42% it usually is. :-) I think it's close to 50%, actually.

Don

[WaToiler]

[chgobjpro]

From Fred Renzy's book with basic strategy.

UP CARD ..DEALER BREAKS

2 ........35%
3 ........37%
4 ........40%
5 ........42%
6 ........42%

7 ........26%
8 ........24%
9 ........23%
10 .......23%
A ........17%

Notice the big difference once the dealer shows a 7 or better.