Comparison between Hi-Lo and Hi-Lo with an Ace Side Count
Note: The following sims are based on 6D,S17,DOA,DAS,SPA1,SPL3,NS,5/6,heads up,CATCH-22 indices (floored),5 billion rounds each.
SBA 5.05 was used to run the sims.
A) Hi-Lo
play-all | rounds played = 100.00%
spread ev/h sd/h ror% n0 di score ekb avb unit kelly
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 - 1 -0.317 11.609 100.00 0 0.00 0.00 10000.00 1.000 1.000 0.000
1 - 2 0.056 15.749 13.53 8007410 0.35 0.12 4456.44 1.280 2.244 1.000
1 - 3 0.428 20.899 13.53 238370 2.05 4.20 1020.36 1.561 9.800 1.000
1 - 4 0.728 23.608 13.53 105286 3.08 9.50 766.03 1.677 13.054 1.000
1 - 5 1.042 27.388 13.53 69046 3.81 14.48 719.65 1.828 13.896 1.000
1 - 6 1.297 29.964 13.53 53340 4.33 18.75 692.03 1.920 14.450 1.000
1 - 7 1.557 32.857 13.53 44539 4.74 22.45 693.43 2.024 14.421 1.000
1 - 8 1.829 36.146 13.53 39067 5.06 25.60 714.43 2.144 13.997 1.000
1 - 9 2.047 38.477 13.53 35344 5.32 28.29 723.36 2.223 13.824 1.000
1 - 10 2.267 40.932 13.53 32610 5.54 30.67 739.16 2.306 13.529 1.000
1 - 11 2.496 43.622 13.53 30538 5.72 32.75 762.31 2.399 13.118 1.000
1 - 12 2.732 46.464 13.53 28925 5.88 34.57 790.22 2.499 12.655 1.000
A) Hi-Lo/A
play-all | rounds played = 100.00%
spread ev/h sd/h ror% n0 di score ekb avb unit kelly
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 - 1 -0.297 11.607 100.00 0 0.00 0.00 10000.00 1.000 1.000 0.000
1 - 2 0.085 15.741 13.53 3465923 0.54 0.29 2930.44 1.280 3.412 1.000
1 - 3 0.467 20.885 13.53 200418 2.23 4.99 934.98 1.561 10.695 1.000
1 - 4 0.769 23.493 13.53 93220 3.28 10.73 717.27 1.671 13.942 1.000
1 - 5 1.093 27.333 13.53 62508 4.00 16.00 683.37 1.826 14.633 1.000
1 - 6 1.350 29.834 13.53 48837 4.53 20.48 659.30 1.916 15.168 1.000
1 - 7 1.617 32.778 13.53 41088 4.93 24.34 664.41 2.023 15.051 1.000
1 - 8 1.896 36.090 13.53 36234 5.25 27.60 686.98 2.145 14.557 1.000
1 - 9 2.131 38.676 13.53 32929 5.51 30.37 701.82 2.236 14.249 1.000
1 - 10 2.357 41.151 13.53 30494 5.73 32.79 718.60 2.322 13.916 1.000
1 - 11 2.591 43.856 13.53 28641 5.91 34.92 742.19 2.417 13.474 1.000
1 - 12 2.833 46.710 13.53 27192 6.06 36.78 770.24 2.518 12.983 1.000
As you will see the percentage is spread-dependent:
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 2 | 141.66% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 3 | 18.81% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 4 | 12.95% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 5 | 10.50% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 6 | 9.23% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 7 | 8.42% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 8 | 7.81% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 9 | 7.35% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 10 | 6.91% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 11 | 6.63% |
+--------+---------+
| 1 - 12 | 6.39% |
+--------+---------+
A black-chipper playing alone and using a 4:1 spread can make an interesting 12.95% over another player using Hi-Lo without an ace-side count.
Hope this helps.
Sincerely,
Cacarulo
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