Geoff Hall: A,7 vs 9

[Geoff Hall]

> A suggestion: this bet involves an
> intelligent person and a moron. I don't
> think 200 hands should be sacrosanct. If
> this person believes standing is superior to
> hitting, then surely, he'd like the
> experiment to display the truth, right?

> After all, he wouldn't want to play just 10
> hands, and risk being proven wrong by a
> fluke occurrence, would he?

> I guess he won't trust a book or computer
> sim, so we're going to have to deal hands.
> But, for $15,000, why stop at 200? Who's in
> a rush? Let's get it right. So, let's deal
> 500 or 600 hands ... or more. What's the
> difference? If the moron thinks he's got the
> right side of things, he should want MORE
> hands, not fewer, right?

> Just a suggestion.

> Don

Good point although generally when dealing with this type of person they fail to understand any form of logic.
I noticed that Karel said that 660 hands would give a 95% degree of confidence so I will suggest that my friend tries to persuade this player to deal 700 hands using your 'logic' to him.
I will post the outcome if ever the bet takes place.
Thanks to all those who posted their analysis and suggestions.

Best regards

Geoff

[Susan]

...
> persuade this player to deal 700 hands using
> your 'logic' to him.
> I will post the outcome if ever the bet
> takes place.
> Thanks to all those who posted their
> analysis and suggestions.

> Best regards

> Geoff

Go for 500 or even better 1000 hands. He may think you are trying to trick him into something unusual with 700 hands.