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Thread: Kasey: Counting Error Rate

  1. #1
    Kasey
    Guest

    Kasey: Counting Error Rate

    I started learning the KO Preferred count last November. I have been practicing nearly every day, but I am still making a fair number of mistakes and I wondered if anyone had some advice to reduce my error rate.

    Here are the various practice methods I use:

    1) I count down 1 and 2 decks. I do this 1, 2 and 3 cards at a time. It takes me 19-26 seconds to count down a deck. I can't remember the last time I made a mistake doing this.

    2) I also lay out an entire deck on the table at once in "hands" and count the entire table at once. This takes me about 20 seconds. I occasionally make errors canceling out cards this way, but not often.

    3) I practice with the MKE practice deck, running through it against each dealer upcard and keeping the count as I go.

    4) I practice with PDA software that tracks my results and error rates. I practice against 1,2 and 6 decks with a variety of rules.

    5) Whenever I practice, I try to have something noisy and distracting going on in the background to simulate a casino environment.

    Here are my error rates from the practice software:
    Hands Played: 16106
    Wrong play: 60
    Wrong insurance: 10
    Wrong size bet: 74
    Total Errors: 144

    This means I am making some kind of mistake on almost 1 percent of my hands, which seems very high to me.

    Here are the kinds of errors I have noticed myself making:

    1) When the count makes a very large swing on a single hand, I forget to change my bet size.
    2) Sometimes I count a card backwards. It?s always a little card.
    3) When I have to make an insurance decision, sometimes I forget the count in the process. Oops.
    4) I play too long and start making mental errors. These usually come in clumps. At least this is easy to fix. As long as I quit after an hour I will be fine.

    Does anyone have suggestions for decreasing my error rates on 1, 2 and 3?

    Thanks!

  2. #2
    Don Schlesinger
    Guest

    Don Schlesinger: Re: Counting Error Rate

    > 1) When the count makes a very large swing
    > on a single hand, I forget to change my bet
    > size.
    > 2) Sometimes I count a card backwards. It?s
    > always a little card.
    > 3) When I have to make an insurance
    > decision, sometimes I forget the count in
    > the process. Oops.
    > 4) I play too long and start making mental
    > errors. These usually come in clumps. At
    > least this is easy to fix. As long as I quit
    > after an hour I will be fine.

    > Does anyone have suggestions for decreasing
    > my error rates on 1, 2 and 3?

    This isn't a very controlled experiment, because, if you alleviate number 4, how do you know that 1, 2, and 3 won't correct themselves in the process?

    In short, most errors come from mental fatigue, and fatigue, in turn, comes from playing long sessions, which is NEVER a good idea, under any circumstances.

    Try not playing for more than an hour at a time without a break, and I'll bet the other errors decrease, as well.

    Don

  3. #3
    Baddog
    Guest

    Baddog: Re: Counting Error Rate

    Take Don's advice to the bank. Try this - at a pace of 1 deck/100 seconds - what is your error rate? Find the fastest rate at which you make NO errors. Practice at a pace 1D/(rate - 5 sec) until that rate is zero - n etc. Like hitting a speed bag at boxing - slow until the bag flows - then gradually speed up. Next thing you know - you are Rocky. Music - money - dames. Life is good!

  4. #4
    Kasey
    Guest

    Kasey: Thanks!

    I taken both of your suggestions, practicing for shorter intervals and slowing down my play and my error rate is dropping for all the types of mistakes I listed.


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