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Thread: ToAnyOne: Cost of mistakes (?)

  1. #1
    ToAnyOne
    Guest

    ToAnyOne: Cost of mistakes (?)

    Suppose that as I start a new shoe,
    (that I will end up playing all because the count will be good enough to stay through the whole shoe tho I would normally wong-out if the count went negative)
    I count the first 10 that comes out as a 5
    my hi-lo RC would be off by 2 for a whole shoe of betting

    How much damage would such a mistake do to my EV?

    I hope this is not a too difficult question
    I think it would be interesting to know because usually the costs of mistakes are calculated on an individual basis where as mistakes such as this one will affect the outcome of several rounds.

    Thanks in advance for any help
    TAO

  2. #2
    Norm Wattenberger
    Guest

    Norm Wattenberger: Re: Cost of mistakes (?)

    HiLo Ill18 & Fab4, 5/6 decks, S17, DAS, LS play all, Spread 1:16:

    I get a drop in SCORE of a bit less than 9%.
    The Win Rate actually goes up from 4.1 to 4.8 units per hour because the average bet goes from 2.8 units to 3.7 units.
    But, the Risk of Ruin jumps from 13.5% to 20.5%.


    CVCX Online



  3. #3
    ToAnyOne
    Guest

    ToAnyOne: wow! that's a huge increase in variance, Thanks *NM*


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