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Don Schlesinger: Re: I kind of figured
If you back-count according to BJRM or CV, it means that you are, in essence, staying at the same table and not playing when the count is disadvantageous. We show in Chapter 13 that you can improve on this view of back-counting and we discuss how to do it. Then, we give a bet schedule, which you can compare to one in CV or BJRM, once you replicate the game conditions. See how close one comes to the other, and decide in which manner you're going to play.
Once a bankroll is established, your ROR is uniquely a function of e.v. and variance, which BJRM and CV always furnish for the approach you're taking. So, you'll always know your risk of ruin. What you aren't going to know is every optimal betting schedule for the WiWo or White Rabbit approach for every set of game rules and conditions. It just isn't feasible for BJRM or CV to furnish this information.
Don
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Don Schlesinger: A little more insight
In BJA3, take a look at Tables 10.51 and 13.3. For the first, look at the practical 1-4 spread for the back-counter, and note his various bet sizes and win rate, in dollars. Then look at lag-WiWo, in Table 13.3, noting his unit size to the right of the chart and his wager sizes, once translated into dollars. (Of course, we have a 1-4 spread for one and a 1-12 spread for the other, but this really isn't a big problem.) Finally, note the hourly win rates of each.
They are very close, no?
So, bottom line: Use the Chapter 10 charts (or CV or BJRM) to guide your bet sizes for your style of play. You will be close enough to optimal so as not to lose any sleep over it. :-)
Don
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pm: Re: A little more insight
> In BJA3, take a look at Tables 10.51 and
> 13.3. For the first, look at the practical
> 1-4 spread for the back-counter, and note
> his various bet sizes and win rate, in
> dollars. Then look at lag-WiWo, in Table
> 13.3, noting his unit size to the right of
> the chart and his wager sizes, once
> translated into dollars. (Of course, we have
> a 1-4 spread for one and a 1-12 spread for
> the other, but this really isn't a big
> problem.) Finally, note the hourly win rates
> of each.
> They are very close, no?
> So, bottom line: Use the Chapter 10 charts
> (or CV or BJRM) to guide your bet sizes for
> your style of play. You will be close enough
> to optimal so as not to lose any sleep over
> it. :-)
> Don
Thanks Don, I greatly appreciate the assistance. Intuitively, it seemed like this had to be the answer, but it helps that I know this for sure now (my intuition is usually wrong, so I'm kind of paranoid). I guess I should have thought to compare the tables myself, though, doh!!
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