BS Student: Long-Term Basic Strategy Expectations

[BS Student]

I am wondering what the win/loss/tie percentage expectations are long-term for someone playing straight basic strategy. Could someone direct me to where I can find this information?

I vaguely remember reading somewhere that the percentages were about 43.5/48.5/8.0. Are these numbers accurate?

[Sonny]

> I vaguely remember reading somewhere that
> the percentages were about 43.5/48.5/8.0.
> Are these numbers accurate?

That sounds about right. I seem to remember it being about 43/48/9% but that was probably rounded.

-Sonny-

[Dancer]

> I am wondering what the win/loss/tie
> percentage expectations are long-term for
> someone playing straight basic strategy.
> Could someone direct me to where I can find
> this information?

> I vaguely remember reading somewhere that
> the percentages were about 43.5/48.5/8.0.
> Are these numbers accurate?

As Sonny mentioned, they do sound about right, but I don't have access to my BJ library at the moment to give you a source. Keep in mind, though, that surrender will increase the percentage of "losing" hands by a couple of points.

The sad part is, even sophisticated counting systems do little to improve these numbers (although wonging will help).

[Don Schlesinger]

> I vaguely remember reading somewhere that
> the percentages were about 43.5/48.5/8.0.
> Are these numbers accurate?

You need to specify the precise rules of the game. Obviously, that matters. I've always used, roughly, 43.2, 47.9, and 8.9. Your tie number is a little low.

Don

[mr bojangles]

how much do these fgures change for each plus or minus point in the count ?

Many thanks

[Don Schlesinger]

> how much do these fgures change for each
> plus or minus point in the count ?

Not much, but now you're asking questions that are answered by simulation. See Norm's Blackjack Stats at: http://bjstats.com/bjsc.asp

Don