Mr. Ed: Backcounting Betting Strategies

[Mr. Ed]

Say you use the following betting ramp:

<-1 0 units
-1 1 2 3 4 5
Now, if you backcount and jump in at +2, would you use?:

<2 0 units
2 3 4 5
If not, what would you use?

[Mr. Ed]

I don't know how my message got so mangled the first time...this is what I meant to say:

Say you use the following betting ramp:

0 units if TC<-1
1 unit if 1>TC>-1
2 1<=TC<2
4 2<=TC<3
6 3<=TC<4
8 4<=TC<5
10 TC>=5

Now, if you backcount and jump in at +2, would you use:

0 TC<2
4 2<=TC<3
6 3<=TC<4
8 4<=TC<5
10 TC>=5

If not, what would you use?

[Contrail]

It's a little difficult to answer because neither of your posts provide much context. I would suggest that rather than truncating the first strategy by dropping bets at TCs < +2, it would be better to use something like BJRM or CVCX to determine the optimal pattern for the entry point and spread you want. My sense is that a 2:1 spread (in your unmangled version it's 2.5:1) is too tight even when entering at +2. Also, if there is some reason that you really did want to limit yourself to a 2:1 or 2.5:1 spread, then the bets at TCs between +2 and +4/+5 should probably be larger if the bets you cite are close to some fraction of ev*BR/var and you wanted to optimize the SCORE.

[gambler]

> I don't know how my message got so mangled
> the first time...this is what I meant to
> say:

> Say you use the following betting ramp:

> 0 units if TC 1 unit if 1>TC>-1
> 2 1 4 2 6 3 8 4 10 TC>=5

> Now, if you backcount and jump in at +2,
> would you use:

> 0 TC 4 2 6 3 8 4 10 TC>=5

> If not, what would you use?

Dear Mr. Ed,

your suggestion of a betting ramp is a typical one, if you play six decks with 4,5/6 penetration.
Also the backcount approach is OK. Keep in mind, that you should have about 1000 units(about 100 top bets), if you want to play to a ROR less than
5%.