dpm123: Don: Reality Check ?

[dpm123]

I am seriously considering doing this for money. I am using Hi-Lo and playing at a casino with: S17,DAS,DA2,NoS,67-75% pen. After reviewing your charts in BJ Attack it is: 1)astounding the effect pen has on the game; and 2) somewhat disheartening to see the amount of BJ I would have to play to even modestly increase my bankroll. While reading your book, I've discovered I am way overbetting for my bankroll and have been extremely lucky up to this point.(In some instances betting like I have a $20,000 BR!) When I plug in your numbers (BS=1-8; SD per 100=21.2 & Win per 100=.36) into the BR calc on BJDR.com using a 400 unit BR, it says I have to play over 58000 hands with a prob of success of 75% to increase my BR by 50%. Yet the ROR in your book is 52.9% for this spread!! If I back-count I have to play 4x as long! Is this the hard and fast reality of playing BJ for profit? What are the min acceptable ROR I should play? Is there something I'm missing?

Thanks for all of your work and willingness to share!

[Don Schlesinger]

"When I plug in your numbers (BS=1-8; SD per 100=21.2 & Win per 100=.36)"

This certainly doesn't come from optimal betting! What game are we talking about?

The bet spreads and ramps in the Chapter 10 charts are not all optimal. Some are quite a bit "off," for cover purposes

Don

[dpm123]

6-decks,S17,DA2,DAS,Ns,67-75%pen

[Don Schlesinger]

> 6-decks,S17,DA2,DAS,Ns,67-75%pen

The numbers you quote come specifically for the play-all 4/6 game (Table 10.11) whose DI of 1.69 ranks it 379th in the charts! You can't even consider playing such a game. Betting optimally (not in the book) your SCORE is slightly above $5!! And, if you were to play all, you would have to spread about 1-20 to achieve a SCORE of roughly $20, which is still horrendous.

Don