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Thread: Probability of winning with HC information

  1. #1


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    Probability of winning with HC information

    Does anyone know what the probability of winning a BJ hand with HC information is?

    A probability on any type of HC game would be useful, but a good approximation would be a perfect info game with reasonable cover (not hit hard 17+, don't split 10s, not double A9, not double with hands of 6 or lower).

    Thanks in advance

    Percy
    Whether you believe you can or not, you're probably right.

  2. #2


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    The probability of getting a BJ is not dependent on HC. The benefit of HC is that you have extra information to make better playing decisions
    Chance favors the prepared mind

  3. #3
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
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    Do you mean: http://www.blackjacktheforum.com/ent...n-Hole-Carding. The answer is a bit surprising.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  4. #4


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Do you mean: http://www.blackjacktheforum.com/ent...n-Hole-Carding. The answer is a bit surprising.
    I do, many thanks Norm.
    Whether you believe you can or not, you're probably right.

  5. #5


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    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Do you mean: http://www.blackjacktheforum.com/ent...n-Hole-Carding. The answer is a bit surprising.
    Do those percentages take into account pushes?
    Last edited by wookets; 07-12-2012 at 05:46 AM.

  6. #6


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    Quote Originally Posted by Percy View Post
    I do, many thanks Norm.
    Any idea how much this % changes when your alter your strategy to maximise the probability of winning the hand (and not maximising EV)?
    Whether you believe you can or not, you're probably right.

  7. #7
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    You mean as in, never double down?

    That's kind of like asking, what's your probability of getting a final total of 21 if you you play a 21-mazimizing strategy? Which means hitting any 20 or less, of course.

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