Results 1 to 8 of 8

Thread: Casinos expected return at blackjack tables

  1. #1


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No

    Casinos expected return at blackjack tables

    Does anybody know what casinos expected % is at blackjack tables? I read somewhere that it was 15-20% and if that's true i don't understand how it is that high.

  2. #2
    Senior Member Tom's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Nearby
    Posts
    559


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by liddellfan2003 View Post
    Does anybody know what casinos expected % is at blackjack tables? I read somewhere that it was 15-20% and if that's true i don't understand how it is that high.
    It varies by property but 15% is about right and 10% is considered "low" and out of the ordinary if sustained for more than a few weeks.

    per Casino Security and Gaming Surveillance by Derk Boss and Alan W. Zajic

    Edit: Let me make a clarification, the % I quoted is the average "hold" or return per table. Cumulatively I do not know.

    Definition of "hold"
    definition.JPG
    Last edited by Tom; 07-07-2012 at 04:55 AM.

  3. #3
    Random number herder Norm's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    The mote in God's eye
    Posts
    12,474
    Blog Entries
    59


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Yes, this is the Hold. Griffin estimated the worst Blackjack player in the world would have a 15% disadvantage. That includes never doubling and always splitting and resplitting tens.
    "I don't think outside the box; I think of what I can do with the box." - Henri Matisse

  4. #4


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    average BJ game returns what, .5% to the house if the player plays perfect strategy? That means every player that plays is expected to lose 1/2 of a percent of all the money they put in. Now, most players set a limit or play until the money they brought goes away. ie. if they go on a losing streak they don't have the $ to keep playing. The casino, on the other hand, never closes, never runs out of money and has an advantage off the top. They can have a bad day to a individual player but generally that player will give it back later.

  5. #5


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Tom View Post
    It varies by property but 15% is about right and 10% is considered "low" and out of the ordinary if sustained for more than a few weeks.

    per Casino Security and Gaming Surveillance by Derk Boss and Alan W. Zajic

    Edit: Let me make a clarification, the % I quoted is the average "hold" or return per table. Cumulatively I do not know.
    So let's say the average bet on the table is $100 combined by all the players and there's on average 10 hands per hour does this mean the casino would expect to make $100-150/hr or am i not understanding.

  6. #6
    Senior Member Tom's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Nearby
    Posts
    559


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by liddellfan2003 View Post
    So let's say the average bet on the table is $100 combined by all the players and there's on average 10 hands per hour does this mean the casino would expect to make $100-150/hr or am i not understanding.
    In short answer, yes.

    Average bet doesn't matter. Think less in terms of per hand/per hour and more in terms of per day. The hold is calculated daily. This means that at the end of the day, when the casino stops play for that particular table (or replaces the drop-box or whatever), about 15% of all money in the drop box will be profit. The rest would be equivalent to the number and value of chips given to players (winnings, change, etc). Say 100 players use the table during the time period and each place 100 bets of $10 (just as example), if the house is holding 15% then their drop box will have $100,000 with $15,000 of that as profit. If the box is swapped every 12 hours then the return averages $1250/hour or $1.50/hand. But again, they don't really care about per hand/per hour, because averages can be misleading. Their main concern is per day....remember, casinos are in it for the long-term.
    Last edited by Tom; 07-07-2012 at 10:42 AM.

  7. #7


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Norm View Post
    Yes, this is the Hold. Griffin estimated the worst Blackjack player in the world would have a 15% disadvantage. That includes never doubling and always splitting and resplitting tens.
    I don't know about that. I saw someone who would hit or double hard 19 and hard 20 every time.

  8. #8


    Did you find this post helpful? Yes | No
    Quote Originally Posted by Tom View Post
    In short answer, yes.

    Average bet doesn't matter. Think less in terms of per hand/per hour and more in terms of per day. The hold is calculated daily. This means that at the end of the day, when the casino stops play for that particular table (or replaces the drop-box or whatever), about 15% of all money in the drop box will be profit. The rest would be equivalent to the number and value of chips given to players (winnings, change, etc). Say 100 players use the table during the time period and each place 100 bets of $10 (just as example), if the house is holding 15% then their drop box will have $100,000 with $15,000 of that as profit. If the box is swapped every 12 hours then the return averages $1250/hour or $1.50/hand. But again, they don't really care about per hand/per hour, because averages can be misleading. Their main concern is per day....remember, casinos are in it for the long-term.
    Thanks i think i understand

Similar Threads

  1. Argument with Teammate over return on investment
    By Blackjackzcx in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 16
    Last Post: 07-05-2012, 11:31 AM
  2. Bad tables?
    By bjarg in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 11
    Last Post: 06-04-2012, 11:45 AM
  3. Do Blackjack tables ever post a loss?
    By Memphis10Tigers in forum General Blackjack Forum
    Replies: 8
    Last Post: 12-13-2011, 11:02 AM

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

About Blackjack: The Forum

BJTF is an advantage player site based on the principles of comity. That is, civil and considerate behavior for the mutual benefit of all involved. The goal of advantage play is the legal extraction of funds from gaming establishments by gaining a mathematic advantage and developing the skills required to use that advantage. To maximize our success, it is important to understand that we are all on the same side. Personal conflicts simply get in the way of our goals.