Hi All,


I have been arguing with a partner whom I’ve been counting with for 18 months in regards to the result of some simulations. We are currently negotiating with investors and I think that he has undersold us, I could be wrong that’s why I’m looking for your feedback. I have attached our simulation results, I’ve calculated the accumulated return in the table below, he however thinks that this is inaccurate and that calculating it simply is the way that the sim was made($261.14x576 hours of game play= $150,416...to me I thought that this would imply that the profits were taken out after every session I do understand that there would be losing sessions and my suggestion is that we re-calculate our bankroll and our betting to operate at the same risk of ruin.


The main problem is if I am completely incorrect the type of Investment we are looking would have competing projects that could return much more. I’m not saying that I would like to lie or exaggerate figures and I understand there would be problems to overcome like betting X amount with heat.


I just would like to represent our project fairly while emphasizing profitability and acknowledging it’s weaknesses like any sales pitch should.


Thanks for taking the time to read this post.




Bankroll Weekly Return % Week Return Figure Risk of Ruin Week
$75,000 12% $6267.36 4.2% Week 1
$81,267.36 12% $9,752.08 4.2% Week 2
$91,019.44 12% $10,922.33 4.2% Week 3
$101,941.77 12% $12,233.01 4.2% Week 4
$114,174.78 12% $13,700.97 4.2% Week 5
$127,875.75 12% $15,345.09 4.2% Week 6
$143,220.84 12% $17,186.50 4.2% Week 7
$160,407.34 12% $19,248.88 4.2% Week 8
$179,656.22 12% $21,558.74 4.2% Week 9
$201,214.96 12% $24,145.79 4.2% Week 10
$225,360.75 12% $27,043.29 4.2% Week 11
$252,404.04 12% $30,288.48 4.2% Week 12
$282,692.52 12% $33,923.10 4.2% Week 13
$316,615.62 12% $37,993.87 4.2% Week 14
$354,609.49 12% $42,553.13 4.2% Week 15
$397,162.62 12% $47,659.51 4.2% Week 16
$444,822.13 12% $53,378.65 4.2% Week 17
$498,200.78 12% $59,784.09 4.2% Week 18
$557,984.87 12% $66,958.18 4.2% Week 19
$624,943.05 12% $74,993.16 4.2% Week 20
$699,936.21 12% $83,992.34 4.2% Week 21
$783,928.55 12% $94,071.42 4.2% Week 22
$877,999.97 12% $105,359.99 4.2% Week 23
$983,359.96 12% $118,003.19 4.2% Week 24
$1,101,363.15 12% $132,163.57 4.2% Week 25
$1,233,526.72 12% $148,023.20 4.2% Week 26
$1,381,549.92 12% $165,785.99 4.2% Week 27
$1,547,335.91 12% $185,680.30 4.2% Week 28
$1,733,016.21 12% $207,961.94 4.2% Week 29
$1,940,978.15 12% $232,917.37 4.2% Week 30
$2,173,895.37 12% $260,867.44 4.2% Week 31
$2,434,762.81 12% $292,171.53 4.2% Week 32
Total end BR $2,726,934.34