You're entitled to ask for whatever you want, but realize that the comparison is badly flawed. Hi-Opt II requires a side count of aces because it doesn't count the ace in the primary count. Not...
Probability of 20-hand win streak in 7,000 trials: 0.000185852501104.
Probability of 20-hand losing streak in 7,000 trials: 0.001529230036319.
Do you see the enormous difference?
Don
No problem, I have those SCOREs for the following rules: 6D, S17, DOA, DAS, SPA1, SPL3, NS, 4.5/6, and R22 indices:
CAC2
1-12: 23.66
1-16: 27.73
Hi-Opt II
1-12: 21.89
I am more in favor of simplicity as well and I am not interested in ace side count, in order to compare apples to apples, I think it is fair to make a comparison between SCORE of Hi Opt II (without...
I agree. I didn't say I was seeing this kind of streak once every 700 or 7000 rounds. I said that I have seen them during my career, both online and in real casinos. These are once in a lifetime...
It is. However the problem is that you aren't measuring the probability of a losing streak you are measuring the probability of a losing streak in a dishonest game.
Even with quite a lot of...
That's not how you back-count an online game.You aren't just watching the game, you close down any negative count and open another game. It is as if you are getting the dealer to shuffle away...
Partial explanation: You lose more hands than you win. Win 43%, lose 48%, tie 9%. When doing the streak calculations, the 5% difference between win and lose is significant.
Don
The probability for a 20-streak in 700 rounds is extremely low. Even in 7000 hands (10 hours). Worse, only the negative streak hits the player. How many 20-hands win streaks did you have in any, say...
Hi-Opt II with an ace side count is superior to all systems that DO NOT use any side count, including CAC2 in its standard version.
Having said that, in order to compare apples to apples, CAC2 or...
I have experienced both not only online but in brick and mortar casinos as well.
One thing about perception and online play is that, while the frequency of rare events remains the same, it feels...
I assumed you were back-counting it. Play all, you can't even get an edge on a 8d H17 game with 50% pen with a 1-20 spread. Even with back-counting, the SCORE is abysmal. I'm getting $2.76.
If a dealer was capable of that control even 50% of the time you could bankrupt the house in a relatively short space of time. That doesn't seem that likely offhand, though I'd keep an open mind.
...
OP said “usually”. That implies “a majority of cases or over 50%”. He doesnt need to be right even 50%. Just 4 out 10 spins and he plays with a 15%+ advantage. At 50-50 his advantage is 45%+.
Yup, bias sounds a strong word. The roulette wheels always show different frequencies. Hamburg Spielbank table1 showed frequencies varying from 1 to 10 in 220 spins (one day). Did the top 12 numbers...
Losing 20 hands in row online appears to be more common than admitted. But no winning 20 hands in row has been honestly reported. Talking here about playing with real money. Playing for fun is a...
You say you're a full time player but you don't have a big enough bankroll yet? First, you might want to keep a day job or something to help build/rebuild your bankroll. Unless you have at least...
It's been a while since your post, but I wanted to offer some insight. I've heard of people using similar strategies to try and beat the odds, but it's important to remember that there's no...
No that was not the whole premise. In fact it was not a premise at all. I never said any such thing.
Your simulation indicated a play-all approach. There's no reason not to skip hands outside...