Originally Posted by
Nikky_Flash
First of all welcome , and you are asking right guy about the right count , Muckz knows his stuff well , I started with that book as well , and transitioned to real -life play using TKO during 2013 and 2014 ... so ; the true-counted form is nicknamed "TKO" , using the general outline demonstrated in the book , "Color of BlackJack" ...
keep in mind , if you are playing blackjack with rules even slightly different from what is shown in KO- or Color of Blackjack , you need to rebuild what is shown for the numbers ... it's not too hard to do , but , you MUST do it ... The people writing the book KO-BlackJack , you gotta remember - are selling books, selling books , selling books... I'm sure they were thinking , "keep it simple, sell some books, sell many many books" . I highly doubt they had in mind , "develop groundbreaking system for serious math-minded people that they can use well, and tweak for their own games they find"
with the help of some generous mentors, they have guided in me in a direction AWAY from that system for a number of reasons, I will start with :
A couple things to keep in mind , is : They don't help you adjust what to do with games with more challenging rules... explained:
1) if you are playing a game where the casino has an advantage of .64 over you , this is very realistic ; and where I'm at common; let's say its 6 deck , DAS, No resplit aces, no surrender , - (playing PERFECT basic strat, which most beginners don't ), you will NOT have an advantage when using what those books teach ... you will have an slight advantage perhaps at I believe a running count early in a 6 deck shoe would have to be 14 or 15 , - the respected book COB teaches RC=9 and to his credit he does mention if your rules aren't as good to use a higher count for it - but what counts? what rules? You NEED this information to play ... this is money, you are playing with money, so I would learn all I can.
- towards the middle of the deck RC would have to crack 19 or 20. I never saw this mentioned in any of those books .... 5 decks in I believe it's 22 ...
What does KO-BlackJack show you, for throwing big bets out ? , if I recall , they give you an "advantage" at around 16?
Example again :
So if you sit down at3:2BJ / 6deck DAS , split aces get one card , no resplit aces , no surrender . I believe that nets -.64 ish .
RC=16 will give you a slight advantage early in a 6 deck shoe , maybe 1%? maybe 1.5 % if we are lucky for a time being ; then it fades after 3 decks have been dealt . so you reading KO-BlackJack might start throwing hundreds and hundreds of dollars at the felt, late in a game 5 decks in , thinking "I have a RC=16! I'm going to win !"
after time and time NOT winning and actually losing you will be.. thinking " this system doesn't work I keep losing"
I am here to save you from this pain.
Do they teach you what to look for in rules - and how to calculate what your count needs to be for advantage calculation ? Not really ...
2) even the respected COB, which Dravot obviously knows what he is doing, I respect him and his friends on this forum , I wish he would've taught the reader how to Exactly calculate your TC divide your true count in half to estimate your percent advantage , then subtract the casinos edge , whether it be .49 or .67 , from that percent ... I believe he does teach those things , here and there , but it seems spread out throughout the book and bad rules are shown with percentages , but , the reader isn't exactly shown how to calculate HIS/HER advantage against . Which is paramount to winning.
I still am a beginner , but , I would have appreciated those concepts in those "easy style " counting books ,
3) And how does one go about adding index plays to TKO or KO , ? the back of KO-blackjack has a Matrix ! with subpoints A, B, C, . have fun!
4) the higher the count you need , the more TIME you need , higher counts = more rare ... so how long you going to bounce around table to table looking for that good shuffle? I did all this and wow , yeah it can be fun to win , but I'm doing this as an investment in my future ,not just for good times like the ploppies ... I believe money needs to be respected ,, So, yes this general system , TKO works ; you just need to adjust for every game and every situation different , I'm here to tell you , in a game taking -.64, you do NOT have advantage at RC=9 early, and you do not have an advantage at RC=16 4 or 5 decks in a 6deck shoe ... you would be having a pretty decent DIS-Advantage.
Good cards to you , and make sure you are playing with winning mathematics, for yourself and your future.
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